Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Málaga v Real Racing Club de Santander

2026-11-07 13:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Testa a testa

22 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Málaga (Casa)

Previsione 41.14%2.43quota equa
EV -0.438%
Vantaggio -0.181%
Kelly -0.308%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.74%41.16%41.12%44.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.232.252.4250.00%44.93%44.44%41.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Real Racing Club de Santander (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.64%3.06quota equa
EV -0.134%
Vantaggio -0.044%
Kelly -0.065%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.50%32.56%32.61%34.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.882.893.0637.04%34.76%34.60%32.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.22%3.81quota equa
EV -0.354%
Vantaggio -0.093%
Kelly -0.126%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.02%26.28%26.27%27.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.583.603.8029.41%27.90%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Málaga (Casa): 41.14%; Real Racing Club de Santander (Trasferta): 32.64%; Pareggio: 26.22%. Per Real Racing Club de Santander (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.064. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.060, con un valore atteso del -0.134%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -0.438%E -0.181%K -0.308%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.53%EV -7.31%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.13%EV -7.96%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 00:25
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -2.08%E -0.875%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.88%E -4.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 00:09
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.88%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 32.16%EV -0.134%E -0.044%K -0.065%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.97%EV -0.616%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-25 21:20
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -6.99%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.60%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 01:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.99%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 00:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.60%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 01:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.62%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-26 00:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.62%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-26 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.89%EV -5.79%E -2.53%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.19%EV -2.74%E -0.921%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -2.98%E -0.804%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 21:01
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.47%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -3.72%E -1.26%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV -0.354%E -0.093%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 22:10
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -6.01%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -1.67%E -0.444%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.98%E -0.804%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 21:20
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.98%E -0.804%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 22:11
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -6.01%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.60%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 21:27
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -6.01%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.60%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 22:18
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -11.55%E -5.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -2.09%E -0.697%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.60%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 20:50
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -6.91%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-26 00:10
picklebet_au🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -11.55%E -5.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 21:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -13.60%E -6.48%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -4.29%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.21%EV -16.48%E -8.12%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 30.99%EV -7.64%E -2.70%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-25 21:17
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -17.72%E -8.86%K -17.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-25 20:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -17.72%E -8.86%K -17.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -11.88%E -4.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-25 21:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.79%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-10-26 00:10