Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Girona v Real Betis

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 19:32 UTC

Score final : Girona 2–3 Real Betis

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Girona (Local)

Prévision 39.26%2.55cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -0.743%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.41%39.27%39.28%40.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.412.402.5043.48%41.58%41.67%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Real Betis (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.03%3.12cote équitable
EV -0.696%
Avantage -0.224%
Kelly -0.331%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.41%32.16%32.04%34.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.632.912.903.1038.02%34.35%34.48%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.71%3.48cote équitable
EV +0.483%
Avantage +0.138%
Kelly +0.193%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.42%28.57%28.68%29.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.313.323.5034.72%30.17%30.12%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Girona (Local) : 39.26% ; Real Betis (Visiteur) : 32.03% ; Match nul : 28.71%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.48. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.50, soit une espérance positive de +0.483%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.25%EV -1.86%E -0.743%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.71%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%EV +0.483%E +0.138%K +0.193%G +0.001%1.9%2026-04-21 19:31
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV +0.483%E +0.138%K +0.193%G +0.001%5.1%2026-04-21 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -13.51%E -5.00%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV +0.483%E +0.138%K +0.193%G +0.001%8.2%2026-04-21 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.58%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -0.953%E -0.276%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.58%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -0.953%E -0.276%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.58%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -0.953%E -0.276%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.58%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -0.953%E -0.276%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -2.39%E -0.702%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 19:29
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -2.39%E -0.702%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 19:31
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -2.39%E -0.702%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 19:30
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -8.06%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -2.39%E -0.702%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -8.06%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -2.39%E -0.702%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.39%E -0.702%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 19:29
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.39%E -0.702%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 19:28
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.38%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.68%EV -1.66%E -0.540%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.95%EV -3.54%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-21 19:29
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%EV -0.696%E -0.224%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-21 19:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.96%EV -2.64%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.84%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-21 19:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.13%EV -4.21%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.37%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 19:30
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 19:30
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 19:30
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:29
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:30
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:29
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 19:22
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.44%EV -3.43%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.50%EV -1.34%E -0.434%K -0.643%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.05%EV -4.11%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 19:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.57%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.14%EV -6.14%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.28%EV -4.40%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 19:28
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.06%EV -2.64%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.76%EV -2.30%E -0.753%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.18%EV -4.69%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 19:29
BetUS🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.30%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.94%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -4.69%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 19:30
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 19:30
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 19:30
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 19:30
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 19:30
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 19:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 19:29
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 19:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.92%E -3.85%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 19:30
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%EV -2.64%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.07%EV -4.54%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 19:30
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%EV -2.64%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.07%EV -4.54%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 19:30
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 19:29
Bovada🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.00%E -2.07%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 19:29
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 19:29
LeoVegas🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.53%E -3.66%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -0.696%E -0.224%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 19:30
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 19:30
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 19:30
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 19:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -6.46%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 19:28
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 19:29
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 19:30
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 19:31
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.57%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -15.75%E -5.99%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -17.32%E -6.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-21 19:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-04-21 19:30
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-04-21 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-04-21 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-04-21 19:30
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.37%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89%1.8%2026-04-21 19:30
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-21 19:31