مدرسة الاحتمالات

Girona v Real Betis

البداية: 2026-04-21 19:32 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Girona 2–3 Real Betis

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Girona (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.26%2.55السعر العادل
EV -1.86%
الأفضلية -0.743%
Kelly -1.24%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.41%39.27%39.28%40.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.412.402.5043.48%41.58%41.67%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Real Betis (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.03%3.12السعر العادل
EV -0.696%
الأفضلية -0.224%
Kelly -0.331%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.41%32.16%32.04%34.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.912.903.1038.02%34.35%34.48%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.71%3.48السعر العادل
EV +0.483%
الأفضلية +0.138%
Kelly +0.193%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.42%28.57%28.68%29.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.313.323.5034.72%30.17%30.12%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.25%EV -1.86%E -0.743%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.71%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%EV +0.483%E +0.138%K +0.193%G +0.001%1.9%2026-04-21 19:31
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV +0.483%E +0.138%K +0.193%G +0.001%5.1%2026-04-21 19:30
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -13.51%E -5.00%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV +0.483%E +0.138%K +0.193%G +0.001%8.2%2026-04-21 19:30
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.58%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -0.953%E -0.276%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 19:30
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.58%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -0.953%E -0.276%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 19:30
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.58%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -0.953%E -0.276%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 19:30
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.58%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -0.953%E -0.276%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 19:30
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -2.39%E -0.702%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 19:29
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -2.39%E -0.702%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 19:31
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -2.39%E -0.702%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 19:30
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -8.06%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -2.39%E -0.702%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -8.06%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -2.39%E -0.702%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 19:30
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.39%E -0.702%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 19:29
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.39%E -0.702%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 19:28
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.38%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.68%EV -1.66%E -0.540%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.95%EV -3.54%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-21 19:29
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%EV -0.696%E -0.224%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-21 19:29
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.96%EV -2.64%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.84%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-21 19:30
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.13%EV -4.21%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.37%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 19:30
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 19:30
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 19:30
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:29
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:30
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:29
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 19:22
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 39.44%EV -3.43%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.50%EV -1.34%E -0.434%K -0.643%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.05%EV -4.11%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 19:29
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.57%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.14%EV -6.14%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.28%EV -4.40%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 19:28
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 39.06%EV -2.64%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.76%EV -2.30%E -0.753%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.18%EV -4.69%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 19:29
BetUS2.43I 41.15%NM 39.30%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.94%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -4.69%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 19:30
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 19:30
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 19:30
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 19:30
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 19:30
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 19:30
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 19:29
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 19:29
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 19:30
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.92%E -3.85%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -5.26%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 19:30
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%EV -2.64%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.07%EV -4.54%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 19:30
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%EV -2.64%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.07%EV -4.54%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 19:30
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 19:29
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.00%E -2.07%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 19:29
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 19:29
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 19:29
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.53%E -3.66%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 19:30
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -0.696%E -0.224%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 19:30
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 19:30
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 19:30
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 19:30
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -6.46%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 19:28
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 19:30
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 19:29
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 19:30
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 19:31
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.57%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -15.75%E -5.99%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -17.32%E -6.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-21 19:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-04-21 19:30
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-04-21 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-04-21 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-04-21 19:30
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.37%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89%1.8%2026-04-21 19:30
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-21 19:31