A Escola das Odds

Girona v Celta Vigo

Início: 2026-03-01 20:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Girona (Local)

Previsão 39.07%2.56odd justa
EV -0.761%
Vantagem -0.299%
Kelly -0.494%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.41%39.08%39.15%40.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.392.402.5444.44%41.80%41.67%39.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Celta Vigo (Visitante)

Previsão 31.41%3.18odd justa
EV -1.06%
Vantagem -0.335%
Kelly -0.491%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.38%31.39%31.34%32.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.013.003.1537.04%33.21%33.33%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.52%3.39odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.332%
Kelly -0.473%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.54%29.53%29.50%30.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.203.203.3535.71%31.23%31.25%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 38.33%EV -0.761%E -0.299%K -0.494%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.71%EV -3.57%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-01 19:55
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.77%EV -2.32%E -0.929%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.68%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.55%EV -3.18%E -0.969%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 19:55
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%EV -2.32%E -0.929%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.65%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.62%EV -3.47%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 19:55
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -2.32%E -0.929%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 19:55
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -2.32%E -0.929%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 19:45
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.96%EV -3.10%E -1.25%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.46%EV -3.18%E -0.969%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 19:39
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.96%EV -3.10%E -1.25%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.46%EV -3.18%E -0.969%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 19:39
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 38.26%EV -3.10%E -1.25%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 19:54
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.50%E -1.42%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%EV -1.06%E -0.335%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 19:39
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.23%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.20%EV -3.25%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 19:55
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 19:39
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 19:54
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 19:39
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 19:45
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -2.59%E -0.784%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 19:54
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:45
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:44
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:45
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 19:54
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 19:55
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 40.05%EV -5.06%E -2.08%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%EV -1.06%E -0.335%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -1.11%E -0.332%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-01 19:39
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.22%EV -5.45%E -2.25%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 19:45
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.22%EV -5.45%E -2.25%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 19:45
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.23%E -2.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -2.59%E -0.784%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 19:49
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.23%E -2.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -2.63%E -0.847%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 19:45
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.23%E -2.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 19:24
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.23%E -2.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 19:34
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.23%E -2.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 19:44
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.23%E -2.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 19:34
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.23%E -2.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 19:49
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.55%EV -7.01%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -1.06%E -0.335%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81%EV -1.11%E -0.332%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.55%EV -7.01%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -1.06%E -0.335%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81%EV -1.11%E -0.332%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 19:40
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.55%EV -7.01%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -1.06%E -0.335%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81%EV -1.11%E -0.332%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 19:40
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -7.01%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 19:33
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.01%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 19:35
Unibet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.78%EV -7.40%E -3.12%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.22%EV -5.14%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 19:55
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -7.40%E -3.12%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -7.40%E -3.12%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 19:34
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.00%EV -7.40%E -3.12%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -8.28%E -2.84%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 19:49
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -2.59%E -0.784%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 19:50
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 19:55
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 19:34
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 19:55
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 19:39
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 19:39
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 19:39
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 19:39
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 19:39
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 19:39
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 19:39
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -15.19%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -17.35%E -6.20%K -9.64%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-01 19:45
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -12.09%E -5.37%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 19:35
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -12.09%E -5.37%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 19:34
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -12.09%E -5.37%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 19:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 38.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24%0.2%2026-03-01 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 38.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24%0.2%2026-03-01 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 38.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24%0.2%2026-03-01 19:49
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 38.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24%0.2%2026-03-01 19:54
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%1.0%2026-03-01 19:49