Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Getafe v Real Betis

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Getafe (Local)

Prediction 33.76%2.96fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.425%
Kelly +0.638%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.21%33.58%33.71%34.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.792.803.0039.22%35.80%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Betis (Visit)

Prediction 33.83%2.96fair odd
EV +4.21%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +2.02%
Growth +0.085%

assuming max odds 3.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.54%34.01%33.81%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.732.733.0841.67%36.70%36.63%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.41%3.09fair odd
EV +0.465%
Edge +0.150%
Kelly +0.221%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.18%32.41%32.49%33.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.912.903.1037.04%34.31%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Getafe (Local): 33.76%; Real Betis (Visit): 33.83%; Draw: 32.41%. For Real Betis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.78%EV -4.46%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.96%EV +4.21%E +1.37%K +2.02%G +0.085%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26%EV -4.07%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.6%2026-03-02 05:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.73%EV -5.81%E -2.08%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.09%EV +2.18%E +0.721%K +1.08%G +0.023%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -5.37%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 12:54
Bovada🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.66%EV -7.84%E -2.87%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV +1.50%E +0.500%K +0.750%G +0.011%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -9.26%E -3.31%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 10:09
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -7.16%E -2.61%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -1.88%E -0.649%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -7.64%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 23:19
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -1.88%E -0.649%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -9.26%E -3.31%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 23:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -1.88%E -0.649%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -9.26%E -3.31%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 23:44
Pinnacle🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -0.075%E -0.025%K -0.038%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.52%EV -2.22%E -0.769%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.75%EV -6.99%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-04 11:20
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.95%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 05:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -7.16%E -2.61%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-23 10:59
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -4.80%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -4.59%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.37%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-23 20:34
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -4.80%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -4.59%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.37%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-23 20:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-23 04:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-23 04:29
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -9.26%E -3.31%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -2.10%E -0.724%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV +0.465%E +0.150%K +0.221%G +0.001%3.1%2026-02-24 07:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -2.10%E -0.724%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV +0.465%E +0.150%K +0.221%G +0.001%3.1%2026-02-24 07:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -2.10%E -0.724%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV +0.465%E +0.150%K +0.221%G +0.001%3.1%2026-02-24 07:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -2.10%E -0.724%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV +0.465%E +0.150%K +0.221%G +0.001%3.1%2026-02-24 07:19
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-23 05:44
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -4.40%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 05:44
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-23 05:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-23 05:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-23 05:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -7.16%E -2.61%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 13:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.52%EV -6.15%E -2.21%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.13%EV -7.63%E -2.80%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -6.66%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 11:43
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 20:40
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -9.26%E -3.31%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 13:09
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -9.26%E -3.31%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 03:59
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 07:20
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 07:19
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 07:19
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 07:19
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 07:20
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 07:19
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 07:19
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -10.54%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -7.64%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-27 23:24
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -12.23%E -4.70%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.26%E -3.31%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-25 13:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -13.92%E -5.46%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.42%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.85%EV -9.91%E -3.56%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-27 13:49
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV +1.28%E +0.425%K +0.638%G +0.008%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -11.36%E -4.33%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 03:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV +1.28%E +0.425%K +0.638%G +0.008%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 12:35
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV +1.28%E +0.425%K +0.638%G +0.008%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 03:25
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV +1.28%E +0.425%K +0.638%G +0.008%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -6.66%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-23 03:25
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -7.16%E -2.61%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -4.40%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 07:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -12.23%E -4.70%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -7.64%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-23 12:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -13.72%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -6.66%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-24 07:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -13.72%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -6.66%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-24 07:19
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -2.10%E -0.724%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -15.42%E -6.17%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -6.66%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-23 03:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -18.80%E -7.83%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -12.50%E -4.63%K -7.35%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-23 03:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 34.74%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.52%5.0%2026-02-28 04:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 34.74%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.52%5.0%2026-02-28 04:09
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 34.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%6.0%2026-02-27 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 33.73%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.73%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54%8.2%2026-02-28 04:09