L’École des cotes

Getafe v Real Betis

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Getafe (Local)

Prévision 33.76%2.96cote équitable
EV +1.28%
Avantage +0.425%
Kelly +0.638%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.21%33.58%33.71%34.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.792.803.0039.22%35.80%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Real Betis (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.83%2.96cote équitable
EV +4.21%
Avantage +1.37%
Kelly +2.02%
Croissance +0.085%

avec la cote maximale 3.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.54%34.01%33.81%36.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.732.733.0841.67%36.70%36.63%32.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.41%3.09cote équitable
EV +0.465%
Avantage +0.150%
Kelly +0.221%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.18%32.41%32.49%33.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.912.903.1037.04%34.31%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 34.78%EV -4.46%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.96%EV +4.21%E +1.37%K +2.02%G +0.085%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26%EV -4.07%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.6%2026-03-02 05:35
Marathon Bet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.73%EV -5.81%E -2.08%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.09%EV +2.18%E +0.721%K +1.08%G +0.023%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -5.37%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 12:54
Bovada2.73I 36.63%NM 34.66%EV -7.84%E -2.87%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV +1.50%E +0.500%K +0.750%G +0.011%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -9.26%E -3.31%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 10:09
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -7.16%E -2.61%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -1.88%E -0.649%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -7.64%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 23:19
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -1.88%E -0.649%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -9.26%E -3.31%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 23:44
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -1.88%E -0.649%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -9.26%E -3.31%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 23:44
Pinnacle2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -0.075%E -0.025%K -0.038%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.52%EV -2.22%E -0.769%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.75%EV -6.99%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-04 11:20
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.95%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 05:55
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -7.16%E -2.61%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-23 10:59
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -4.80%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -4.59%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.37%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-23 20:34
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -4.80%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -4.59%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.37%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-23 20:35
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-23 04:30
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-23 04:29
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -9.26%E -3.31%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 16:59
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -2.10%E -0.724%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV +0.465%E +0.150%K +0.221%G +0.001%3.1%2026-02-24 07:19
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -2.10%E -0.724%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV +0.465%E +0.150%K +0.221%G +0.001%3.1%2026-02-24 07:19
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -2.10%E -0.724%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV +0.465%E +0.150%K +0.221%G +0.001%3.1%2026-02-24 07:19
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -2.10%E -0.724%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.29%EV +0.465%E +0.150%K +0.221%G +0.001%3.1%2026-02-24 07:19
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-23 05:44
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -4.40%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 05:44
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-23 05:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-23 05:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-23 05:45
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -7.16%E -2.61%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 13:05
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 33.52%EV -6.15%E -2.21%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.13%EV -7.63%E -2.80%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -6.66%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 11:43
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 20:40
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -9.26%E -3.31%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 13:09
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -9.26%E -3.31%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 03:59
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 07:20
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 07:19
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 07:19
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 07:19
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 07:20
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 07:19
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 07:19
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -10.54%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -7.64%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-27 23:24
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -12.23%E -4.70%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.26%E -3.31%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-25 13:04
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -13.92%E -5.46%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.42%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.85%EV -9.91%E -3.56%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-27 13:49
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV +1.28%E +0.425%K +0.638%G +0.008%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -11.36%E -4.33%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 03:25
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV +1.28%E +0.425%K +0.638%G +0.008%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -2.78%E -0.925%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 12:35
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV +1.28%E +0.425%K +0.638%G +0.008%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.02%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 03:25
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV +1.28%E +0.425%K +0.638%G +0.008%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -6.66%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-23 03:25
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -7.16%E -2.61%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -4.40%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 07:19
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -12.23%E -4.70%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -7.64%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-23 12:24
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -13.72%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -6.66%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-24 07:19
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -13.72%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -6.66%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-24 07:19
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -2.10%E -0.724%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -15.42%E -6.17%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -6.66%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-23 03:24
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -18.80%E -7.83%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -12.50%E -4.63%K -7.35%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-23 03:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 34.74%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.52%5.0%2026-02-28 04:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 34.74%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.52%5.0%2026-02-28 04:09
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 34.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%6.0%2026-02-27 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 33.73%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.73%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54%8.2%2026-02-28 04:09