A Escola das Odds

Getafe v Rayo Vallecano

Início: 2026-05-03 14:15 UTC

Final: Getafe 0–2 Rayo Vallecano

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Getafe (Local)

Previsão 45.80%2.18odd justa
EV -0.620%
Vantagem -0.286%
Kelly -0.530%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.97%45.85%45.74%48.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.872.032.052.1753.48%49.19%48.78%46.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rayo Vallecano (Visitante)

Previsão 22.99%4.35odd justa
EV +5.74%
Vantagem +1.25%
Kelly +1.59%
Crescimento +0.091%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.06%22.92%23.04%24.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.174.154.6026.67%23.96%24.10%21.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.22%3.20odd justa
EV -0.108%
Vantagem -0.034%
Kelly -0.049%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.24%31.23%31.23%32.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.033.053.2037.04%33.03%32.79%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%EV -6.57%E -3.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%EV +5.74%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.091%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%EV -0.108%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV +5.74%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.091%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -0.108%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV +5.74%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.091%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -0.108%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV +5.74%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.091%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -0.108%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.983%G +0.034%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:10
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.983%G +0.034%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:10
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.983%G +0.034%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:10
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.983%G +0.034%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:10
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.81%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.82%EV +2.29%E +0.515%K +0.664%G +0.015%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.37%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 14:10
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.336%G +0.004%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.39%EV -11.15%E -5.75%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:10
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.39%EV -11.15%E -5.75%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:10
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.39%EV -11.15%E -5.75%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:10
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%EV -11.61%E -6.02%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:10
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.06%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.19%EV +0.682%E +0.156%K +0.202%G +0.001%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.76%EV -4.48%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-03 14:05
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.22%EV -4.28%E -2.05%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.11%EV +0.452%E +0.103%K +0.134%G +0.001%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.67%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 13:13
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.22%EV -4.28%E -2.05%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.11%EV +0.452%E +0.103%K +0.134%G +0.001%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.67%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 13:15
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -12.53%E -6.56%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -0.008%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.36%EV -4.28%E -2.05%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.38%EV -0.468%E -0.108%K -0.140%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 14:05
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.71%EV -0.468%E -0.108%K -0.140%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:50
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 47.65%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -1.16%E -0.269%K -0.351%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:05
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.31%E -0.543%K -0.710%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:08
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.69%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 14:05
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 13:50
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:35
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -10.10%E -3.51%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 13:39
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -14.36%E -7.68%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -14.36%E -7.68%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:10
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -4.61%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 13:30
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.44%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 14:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:05
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:06
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:01
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:05
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:00
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 14:08
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 14:06
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 14:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.54%EV -10.70%E -5.48%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:05
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.30%EV -2.45%E -1.15%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.71%EV -8.51%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:10
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.63%EV -0.620%E -0.286%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.85%EV -1.98%E -0.631%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 14:10
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:01
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.76%EV -8.86%E -4.45%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.19%EV -8.85%E -3.03%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 14:09
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 14:10
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:10
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 14:06
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 14:10
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.36%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 14:10
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 44.06%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.97%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.57%EV -15.72%E -5.82%K -9.25%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 13:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-05-03 14:00
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58%2.2%2026-05-03 14:10