L’École des cotes

Getafe v Rayo Vallecano

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 14:15 UTC

Score final : Getafe 0–2 Rayo Vallecano

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Getafe (Local)

Prévision 45.80%2.18cote équitable
EV -0.620%
Avantage -0.286%
Kelly -0.530%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.97%45.85%45.74%48.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.032.052.1753.48%49.19%48.78%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rayo Vallecano (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.99%4.35cote équitable
EV +5.74%
Avantage +1.25%
Kelly +1.59%
Croissance +0.091%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.06%22.92%23.04%24.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.174.154.6026.67%23.96%24.10%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.22%3.20cote équitable
EV -0.108%
Avantage -0.034%
Kelly -0.049%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.24%31.23%31.23%32.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.033.053.2037.04%33.03%32.79%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%EV -6.57%E -3.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%EV +5.74%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.091%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%EV -0.108%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV +5.74%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.091%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -0.108%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV +5.74%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.091%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -0.108%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV +5.74%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.091%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -0.108%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.983%G +0.034%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:10
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.983%G +0.034%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:10
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.983%G +0.034%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:10
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.983%G +0.034%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:10
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.81%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.82%EV +2.29%E +0.515%K +0.664%G +0.015%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.37%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 14:10
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.336%G +0.004%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.39%EV -11.15%E -5.75%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:10
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.39%EV -11.15%E -5.75%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:10
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.39%EV -11.15%E -5.75%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:10
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%EV -11.61%E -6.02%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:10
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.06%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.19%EV +0.682%E +0.156%K +0.202%G +0.001%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.76%EV -4.48%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-03 14:05
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.22%EV -4.28%E -2.05%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.11%EV +0.452%E +0.103%K +0.134%G +0.001%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.67%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 13:13
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.22%EV -4.28%E -2.05%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.11%EV +0.452%E +0.103%K +0.134%G +0.001%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.67%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 13:15
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -12.53%E -6.56%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -0.008%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.36%EV -4.28%E -2.05%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.38%EV -0.468%E -0.108%K -0.140%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 14:05
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.71%EV -0.468%E -0.108%K -0.140%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:50
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 47.65%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -1.16%E -0.269%K -0.351%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:05
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.31%E -0.543%K -0.710%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:08
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.69%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 14:05
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 13:50
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:35
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -10.10%E -3.51%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 13:39
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -14.36%E -7.68%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -14.36%E -7.68%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:10
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -4.61%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 13:30
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.44%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 14:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:05
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:06
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:01
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:05
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:00
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 14:08
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 14:06
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 14:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.54%EV -10.70%E -5.48%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:05
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.30%EV -2.45%E -1.15%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.71%EV -8.51%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:10
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.63%EV -0.620%E -0.286%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.85%EV -1.98%E -0.631%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 14:10
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:01
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.76%EV -8.86%E -4.45%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.19%EV -8.85%E -3.03%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 14:09
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 14:10
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:10
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 14:06
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 14:10
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.36%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 14:10
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 44.06%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.97%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.57%EV -15.72%E -5.82%K -9.25%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-05-03 14:00
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58%2.2%2026-05-03 14:10