La escuela de los momios

Getafe v Rayo Vallecano

Inicio: 2026-05-03 14:15 UTC

Final: Getafe 0–2 Rayo Vallecano

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Getafe (Local)

Predicción 45.80%2.18momio equitativo
EV -0.620%
Ventaja -0.286%
Kelly -0.530%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.97%45.85%45.74%48.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.872.032.052.1753.48%49.19%48.78%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rayo Vallecano (Visitante)

Predicción 22.99%4.35momio equitativo
EV +5.74%
Ventaja +1.25%
Kelly +1.59%
Crecimiento +0.091%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.06%22.92%23.04%24.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.174.154.6026.67%23.96%24.10%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.22%3.20momio equitativo
EV -0.108%
Ventaja -0.034%
Kelly -0.049%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.24%31.23%31.23%32.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.033.053.2037.04%33.03%32.79%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%EV -6.57%E -3.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%EV +5.74%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.091%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%EV -0.108%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV +5.74%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.091%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -0.108%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV +5.74%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.091%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -0.108%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV +5.74%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.091%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -0.108%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.983%G +0.034%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:10
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.983%G +0.034%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:10
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.983%G +0.034%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:10
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.983%G +0.034%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:10
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.81%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.82%EV +2.29%E +0.515%K +0.664%G +0.015%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.37%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 14:10
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.336%G +0.004%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.39%EV -11.15%E -5.75%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:10
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.39%EV -11.15%E -5.75%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:10
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.39%EV -11.15%E -5.75%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:10
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%EV -11.61%E -6.02%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:10
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.06%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.19%EV +0.682%E +0.156%K +0.202%G +0.001%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.76%EV -4.48%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-03 14:05
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.22%EV -4.28%E -2.05%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.11%EV +0.452%E +0.103%K +0.134%G +0.001%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.67%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 13:13
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.22%EV -4.28%E -2.05%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.11%EV +0.452%E +0.103%K +0.134%G +0.001%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.67%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 13:15
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -12.53%E -6.56%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -0.008%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.36%EV -4.28%E -2.05%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.38%EV -0.468%E -0.108%K -0.140%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 14:05
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.71%EV -0.468%E -0.108%K -0.140%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 13:50
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 47.65%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -1.16%E -0.269%K -0.351%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:05
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -4.74%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.31%E -0.543%K -0.710%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:08
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.69%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 14:05
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 13:50
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:35
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -10.10%E -3.51%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 13:39
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -14.36%E -7.68%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -14.36%E -7.68%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:10
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -4.61%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 13:30
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.44%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 14:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:05
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:06
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:01
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:05
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:00
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 14:08
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 14:06
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 14:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.54%EV -10.70%E -5.48%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:05
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.30%EV -2.45%E -1.15%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.71%EV -8.51%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:10
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.63%EV -0.620%E -0.286%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.85%EV -1.98%E -0.631%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 14:10
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:01
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -2.91%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.76%EV -8.86%E -4.45%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.19%EV -8.85%E -3.03%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 14:09
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -3.23%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 14:10
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:10
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.35%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 14:06
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -7.91%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 14:10
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.36%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -4.79%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 14:10
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 44.06%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -9.47%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.97%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.57%EV -15.72%E -5.82%K -9.25%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 13:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-05-03 14:00
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58%2.2%2026-05-03 14:10