L’École des cotes

Espanyol v Real Sociedad

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

Score final : Espanyol 1–1 Real Sociedad

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Espanyol (Local)

Prévision 38.30%2.61cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.458%
Kelly -0.748%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.22%38.37%38.27%39.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.452.452.5843.48%40.82%40.82%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Real Sociedad (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.50%2.90cote équitable
EV +1.77%
Avantage +0.599%
Kelly +0.906%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.86%34.44%34.53%36.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.752.752.9540.00%36.37%36.36%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.20%3.68cote équitable
EV +1.73%
Avantage +0.463%
Kelly +0.632%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 3.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.62%27.19%27.20%28.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.423.453.7433.33%29.26%28.99%26.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.57%EV -2.33%E -0.914%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.34%EV +1.77%E +0.599%K +0.906%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.57%EV -2.33%E -0.914%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.34%EV +1.77%E +0.599%K +0.906%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-23 18:49
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.57%EV -2.33%E -0.914%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.34%EV +1.77%E +0.599%K +0.906%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV +0.042%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97%EV -2.33%E -0.914%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.97%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 18:29
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.96%EV -5.01%E -2.02%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -3.16%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:29
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.72%EV -1.18%E -0.458%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.63%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-23 18:40
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 38.15%EV -2.71%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.48%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.37%EV -3.71%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:28
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:49
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -8.08%E -3.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -8.08%E -3.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:49
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 39.14%EV -5.01%E -2.02%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.91%EV -4.10%E -1.47%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.95%EV +1.73%E +0.463%K +0.632%G +0.011%3.0%2026-05-23 18:49
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.17%EV -3.10%E -1.22%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.86%EV -4.44%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.97%EV -2.62%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 37.86%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.30%EV -4.79%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:48
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.33%E -0.914%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:40
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:49
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:40
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:29
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.08%E -3.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:29
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.08%E -3.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.84%E -3.72%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.84%E -3.72%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:49
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.84%E -3.72%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:49
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.99%E -4.25%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.99%E -4.25%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 18:49
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -9.99%E -4.25%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -12.96%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 18:49
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -9.99%E -4.25%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -14.32%E -4.54%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 18:49
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -3.48%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.87%EV -6.17%E -2.27%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:29
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -3.48%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.87%EV -6.17%E -2.27%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:29
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.08%E -0.577%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -2.08%E -0.577%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:38
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 18:29
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.08%E -3.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:49
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 18:39
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 38.42%EV -10.76%E -4.62%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -14.32%E -4.54%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 18:49
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.84%EV -9.23%E -3.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.48%EV -7.89%E -2.96%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.08%E -3.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 18:49
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 18:29
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.99%E -4.25%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 18:39
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -2.08%E -0.577%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -10.31%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:49
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.84%E -3.72%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.31%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 18:30
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.32%EV -11.91%E -5.18%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.06%EV -11.00%E -4.26%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.62%EV -3.98%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 18:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -11.91%E -5.18%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -18.40%E -6.13%K -9.20%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.88%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-05-23 18:49