Language:English
Espanyol v Atlético Madrid
Head to Head
Espanyol (Local)
Prediction 23.35%4.28fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.253%
Kelly +0.329%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.93%23.32%23.27%24.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.964.004.3328.57%25.24%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlético Madrid (Visit)
Prediction 51.63%1.94fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.25%51.64%51.63%53.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.801.801.8758.14%55.50%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.02%4.00fair odd
EV +0.596%
Edge +0.148%
Kelly +0.197%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.46%25.04%25.10%26.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.713.704.0228.99%26.99%27.03%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Espanyol (Local): 23.35%; Atlético Madrid (Visit): 51.63%; Draw: 25.02%. For Espanyol (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.33, producing a positive expected value of +1.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.77%EV +1.10%E +0.253%K +0.329%G +0.004% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.71%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.52%EV +0.596%E +0.148%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 1.4% | 2026-09-21 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV +0.397%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -8.62%E -4.87%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.91%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-21 12:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.83%EV -3.11%E -0.748%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.21%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-21 12:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.08%EV -3.81%E -0.924%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.96%EV -5.52%E -3.02%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.96%EV -4.66%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-21 12:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 12:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.91%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-21 11:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.52%E -3.02%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.16%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-21 11:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.41%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-21 12:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.41%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-21 11:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.65%E -5.51%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.16%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-21 12:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -5.52%E -3.02%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-21 12:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -10.11%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-21 12:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.16%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-21 12:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -12.44%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.65%E -5.51%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-21 12:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -15.95%E -4.43%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.73%EV -9.13%E -5.19%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-21 12:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -18.28%E -5.22%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.25%EV -11.20%E -6.51%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.05%EV -13.67%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-21 12:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 49.86% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99% | 16.6% | 2026-09-21 12:54 |