默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Espanyol v Atlético Madrid

2026-10-17 12:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Espanyol (主队)

预测 23.23%4.30公平赔率
EV +0.585%
优势 +0.135%
Kelly +0.176%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 4.33

博彩公司预测分布
21.66%23.11%23.15%24.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.504.054.114.3328.57%24.70%24.33%23.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlético Madrid (客队)

预测 51.90%1.93公平赔率
EV -2.95%
优势 -1.58%
Kelly -3.40%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布
50.25%51.99%51.86%54.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.781.771.8758.48%56.13%56.34%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.87%4.02公平赔率
EV -0.006%
优势 -0.001%
Kelly -0.002%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.02

博彩公司预测分布
23.61%24.90%24.98%26.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.753.754.0228.99%26.66%26.67%24.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Espanyol (主队):23.23%;Atlético Madrid (客队):51.90%;平局:24.87%。 对于“Espanyol (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.30。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为4.33,由此产生+0.585%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 22.77%EV +0.585%E +0.135%K +0.176%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.71%EV -2.95%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.52%EV -0.006%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.4%2026-09-21 11:25
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV +0.585%E +0.135%K +0.176%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -0.503%E -0.126%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 13:19
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -0.111%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -7.63%E -4.28%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -2.99%E -0.767%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-21 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -0.111%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -8.14%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -5.48%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 12:49
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -0.111%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -11.26%E -6.58%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -2.99%E -0.767%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-21 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.27%E -0.300%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.99%E -0.767%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-21 13:18
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -2.43%E -0.580%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.48%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-21 13:49
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -2.43%E -0.580%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -5.48%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 13:48
Betsson🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.83%EV -3.60%E -0.866%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.21%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -9.21%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-21 12:49
Pinnacle🎯4.12I 24.27%NM 23.08%EV -4.29%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.96%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.96%EV -5.23%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-21 12:49
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.76%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -10.45%E -2.90%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 12:44
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.97%E -2.15%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-21 12:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.97%E -2.15%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-21 11:58
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.72%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-21 12:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -9.40%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.45%E -2.90%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-21 12:54
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -10.56%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.21%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-21 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.73%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.72%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-21 12:54
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -12.89%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -10.45%E -2.90%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-21 12:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -16.37%E -4.55%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.73%EV -8.66%E -4.92%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -9.21%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-21 12:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -18.70%E -5.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.25%EV -10.74%E -6.24%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.05%EV -14.18%E -4.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-21 12:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 49.86%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%16.6%2026-09-21 12:54