Language:English
Elche CF v Real Madrid
Head to Head
Elche CF (Local)
Prediction 9.26%10.80fair odd
EV +7.41%
Edge +0.639%
Kelly +0.699%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 11.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.49%9.31%9.32%10.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.839.8811.6012.50%10.17%10.13%8.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Madrid (Visit)
Prediction 74.31%1.35fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -5.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.09%74.22%74.49%75.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.251.3281.97%79.30%79.68%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.43%6.09fair odd
EV +2.69%
Edge +0.431%
Kelly +0.513%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 6.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.09%16.48%16.19%18.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.585.706.2520.83%17.92%17.54%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Elche CF (Local): 9.26%; Real Madrid (Visit): 74.31%; Draw: 16.43%. For Elche CF (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.80. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 11.60, producing a positive expected value of +7.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.49%EV +7.41%E +0.639%K +0.699%G +0.052% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.62%EV -1.91%E -1.45%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.89%EV -4.21%E -0.722%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +1.85%E +0.169%K +0.185%G +0.003% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -1.42%E -0.236%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 10:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV -2.78%E -0.264%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.42%EV -5.63%E -4.43%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.58%EV -6.34%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV -2.78%E -0.264%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.42%EV -5.63%E -4.43%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.58%EV -6.34%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV -7.41%E -0.741%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -1.42%E -0.236%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 09:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -7.41%E -0.741%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.47%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV +2.69%E +0.431%K +0.513%G +0.014% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.41%E -0.741%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.42%E -0.236%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 10:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -7.41%E -0.741%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -3.40%E -2.61%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -17.85%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -7.41%E -0.741%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -3.40%E -2.61%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -17.85%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 11:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -7.41%E -0.741%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -5.63%E -4.43%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -13.74%E -2.62%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.71%EV -9.72%E -0.997%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.52%EV -5.63%E -4.43%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -1.42%E -0.236%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 09:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.34%EV -9.72%E -0.997%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.82%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -16.20%E -3.18%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -12.04%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -1.42%E -0.236%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -12.04%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.85%EV -6.37%E -5.06%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -13.74%E -2.62%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 10:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -12.04%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -9.34%E -7.66%K -42.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -1.42%E -0.236%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -12.04%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -13.74%E -2.62%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.41%EV -12.04%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.70%EV -8.60%E -6.99%K -37.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -17.85%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 09:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -16.67%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -7.86%E -6.34%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -1.42%E -0.236%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -16.67%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -6.37%E -5.06%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.63%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.84%EV -25.92%E -3.24%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -9.34%E -7.66%K -42.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.07%EV -21.13%E -4.40%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 8.02% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.94% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 13.04% | -0.3% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.81% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 30.39% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.81% | 161.2% | 2026-09-06 10:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.81% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 30.39% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.81% | 161.2% | 2026-09-06 10:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.81% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 30.39% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.81% | 161.2% | 2026-09-06 10:35 |