Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Elche CF v Real Madrid

2026-09-15 19:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Testa a testa

20 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Elche CF (Casa)

Previsione 9.26%10.80quota equa
EV +7.41%
Vantaggio +0.639%
Kelly +0.699%
Crescita +0.052%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.49%9.31%9.32%10.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.009.839.8811.6012.50%10.17%10.13%8.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Real Madrid (Trasferta)

Previsione 74.31%1.35quota equa
EV -1.91%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -5.97%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.09%74.22%74.49%75.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.261.251.3281.97%79.30%79.68%75.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 16.43%6.09quota equa
EV +2.69%
Vantaggio +0.431%
Kelly +0.513%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.09%16.48%16.19%18.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.585.706.2520.83%17.92%17.54%16.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Elche CF (Casa): 9.26%; Real Madrid (Trasferta): 74.31%; Pareggio: 16.43%. Per Elche CF (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 10.80. 2 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 11.60, con un valore atteso positivo del +7.41%.

Quote dei bookmaker (20 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯11.60I 8.62%NM 8.49%EV +7.41%E +0.639%K +0.699%G +0.052%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.62%EV -1.91%E -1.45%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.89%EV -4.21%E -0.722%K -0.871%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-06 10:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +1.85%E +0.169%K +0.185%G +0.003%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -1.42%E -0.236%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 10:25
Betsson🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV -2.78%E -0.264%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.42%EV -5.63%E -4.43%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.58%EV -6.34%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 13:25
NordicBet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV -2.78%E -0.264%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.42%EV -5.63%E -4.43%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.58%EV -6.34%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 13:25
betfred_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV -7.41%E -0.741%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.14%E -3.21%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -1.42%E -0.236%K -0.283%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 09:59
SportsBet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -7.41%E -0.741%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.47%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV +2.69%E +0.431%K +0.513%G +0.014%6.0%2026-09-06 10:05
Fanatics🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.41%E -0.741%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.42%E -0.236%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 10:25
William Hill🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -7.41%E -0.741%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -3.40%E -2.61%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -17.85%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -7.41%E -0.741%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -3.40%E -2.61%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -17.85%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 11:24
Unibet (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -7.41%E -0.741%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -5.63%E -4.43%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -13.74%E -2.62%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.71%EV -9.72%E -0.997%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.52%EV -5.63%E -4.43%K -20.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -1.42%E -0.236%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 09:59
Betclic (FR)🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.34%EV -9.72%E -0.997%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.82%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -16.20%E -3.18%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 10:00
Sky Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -12.04%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -1.42%E -0.236%K -0.283%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 10:00
LeoVegas🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -12.04%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.85%EV -6.37%E -5.06%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -13.74%E -2.62%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 10:30
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -12.04%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -9.34%E -7.66%K -42.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -1.42%E -0.236%K -0.283%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 10:05
PlayUp🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -12.04%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -7.11%E -5.69%K -28.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -13.74%E -2.62%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.41%EV -12.04%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.70%EV -8.60%E -6.99%K -37.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -17.85%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 09:59
FanDuel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -16.67%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -7.86%E -6.34%K -32.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -1.42%E -0.236%K -0.283%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -16.67%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -6.37%E -5.06%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.63%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:55
Winamax (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 10.84%EV -25.92%E -3.24%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -9.34%E -7.66%K -42.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.07%EV -21.13%E -4.40%K -5.56%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-06 10:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi10.00I 10.00%NM 9.89%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.25%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.86%1.1%2026-09-06 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 34.81%1.26I 79.37%NM 30.39%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.81%161.2%2026-09-06 10:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 34.81%1.26I 79.37%NM 30.39%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.81%161.2%2026-09-06 10:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 34.81%1.26I 79.37%NM 30.39%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.81%161.2%2026-09-06 10:35