La scuola delle quote

Elche CF v Getafe

Inizio: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

Finale: Elche CF 1–0 Getafe

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Elche CF (Casa)

Previsione 41.29%2.42quota equa
EV -0.079%
Vantaggio -0.033%
Kelly -0.056%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.03%41.30%41.35%42.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.162.282.302.4246.30%43.93%43.48%41.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Getafe (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.56%3.77quota equa
EV +2.24%
Vantaggio +0.581%
Kelly +0.786%
Crescita +0.018%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.13%26.52%26.63%27.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.583.553.8531.25%27.95%28.17%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 32.15%3.11quota equa
EV -2.89%
Vantaggio -0.958%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.10%32.17%32.02%33.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.902.903.0236.36%34.43%34.48%33.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +2.24%E +0.581%K +0.786%G +0.018%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +2.24%E +0.581%K +0.786%G +0.018%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +2.24%E +0.581%K +0.786%G +0.018%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +2.24%E +0.581%K +0.786%G +0.018%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 41.17%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV +0.645%E +0.170%K +0.231%G +0.001%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.63%EV -8.68%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 14:50
BetOnline.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 07:50
LowVig.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.67%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.67%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.67%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.67%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.41%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.16%EV -1.21%E -0.326%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.73%EV -0.079%E -0.033%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%EV -1.74%E -0.472%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.64%EV -2.89%E -0.958%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.5%2026-05-17 07:55
Coolbet2.34I 42.74%NM 41.45%EV -3.38%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -1.74%E -0.472%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 08:15
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.63%EV -2.14%E -0.905%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.17%EV -2.28%E -0.618%K -0.849%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.20%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 07:51
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.72%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -3.07%E -0.842%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 05:15
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.73%EV -1.73%E -0.727%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.63%EV -3.34%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.64%EV -4.50%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 07:56
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.39%EV -5.79%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 07:51
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 08:14
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -7.72%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:50
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:50
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 04:11
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 41.31%EV -4.62%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 07:55
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -4.18%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 05:26
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -4.18%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 05:20
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -9.99%E -4.58%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -9.99%E -4.58%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:39
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -9.99%E -4.58%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:45
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:56
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:55
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:56
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:56
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:05
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -10.81%E -5.01%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:50
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 07:45
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:50
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 07:50
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -8.36%E -2.93%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 05:15
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:56
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.36%E -2.93%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 07:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -15.02%E -4.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-17 07:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40