مدرسة الاحتمالات

Elche CF v Getafe

البداية: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Elche CF 1–0 Getafe

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Elche CF (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.29%2.42السعر العادل
EV -0.079%
الأفضلية -0.033%
Kelly -0.056%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.03%41.30%41.35%42.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.162.282.302.4246.30%43.93%43.48%41.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Getafe (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.56%3.77السعر العادل
EV +2.24%
الأفضلية +0.581%
Kelly +0.786%
النمو +0.018%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.13%26.52%26.63%27.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.583.553.8531.25%27.95%28.17%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 32.15%3.11السعر العادل
EV -2.89%
الأفضلية -0.958%
Kelly -1.43%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.10%32.17%32.02%33.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.902.903.0236.36%34.43%34.48%33.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +2.24%E +0.581%K +0.786%G +0.018%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +2.24%E +0.581%K +0.786%G +0.018%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +2.24%E +0.581%K +0.786%G +0.018%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +2.24%E +0.581%K +0.786%G +0.018%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 41.17%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV +0.645%E +0.170%K +0.231%G +0.001%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.63%EV -8.68%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 14:50
BetOnline.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 07:50
LowVig.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.67%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.67%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.67%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.67%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.41%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.16%EV -1.21%E -0.326%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.73%EV -0.079%E -0.033%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%EV -1.74%E -0.472%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.64%EV -2.89%E -0.958%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.5%2026-05-17 07:55
Coolbet2.34I 42.74%NM 41.45%EV -3.38%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -1.74%E -0.472%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 08:15
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.63%EV -2.14%E -0.905%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.17%EV -2.28%E -0.618%K -0.849%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.20%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 07:51
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.72%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -3.07%E -0.842%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 05:15
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.73%EV -1.73%E -0.727%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.63%EV -3.34%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.64%EV -4.50%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 07:56
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.39%EV -5.79%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 07:51
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 08:14
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -7.72%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:50
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:50
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 04:11
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 41.31%EV -4.62%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 07:55
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -4.18%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 05:26
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -4.18%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 05:20
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -9.99%E -4.58%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -9.99%E -4.58%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:39
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -9.99%E -4.58%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:45
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:56
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:55
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:56
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:56
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:05
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -10.81%E -5.01%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:50
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 07:45
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:50
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 07:50
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -8.36%E -2.93%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 05:15
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:56
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.36%E -2.93%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 07:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -15.02%E -4.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-17 07:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40