L’École des cotes

Elche CF v Getafe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

Score final : Elche CF 1–0 Getafe

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elche CF (Local)

Prévision 41.29%2.42cote équitable
EV -0.079%
Avantage -0.033%
Kelly -0.056%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.03%41.30%41.35%42.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.162.282.302.4246.30%43.93%43.48%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Getafe (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.56%3.77cote équitable
EV +2.24%
Avantage +0.581%
Kelly +0.786%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.13%26.52%26.63%27.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.583.553.8531.25%27.95%28.17%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.15%3.11cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -0.958%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.10%32.17%32.02%33.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.902.903.0236.36%34.43%34.48%33.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +2.24%E +0.581%K +0.786%G +0.018%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +2.24%E +0.581%K +0.786%G +0.018%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +2.24%E +0.581%K +0.786%G +0.018%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +2.24%E +0.581%K +0.786%G +0.018%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 41.17%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV +0.645%E +0.170%K +0.231%G +0.001%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.63%EV -8.68%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 14:50
BetOnline.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 07:50
LowVig.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.67%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.67%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.67%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.67%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.417%E -0.111%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.41%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.16%EV -1.21%E -0.326%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.73%EV -0.079%E -0.033%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%EV -1.74%E -0.472%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.64%EV -2.89%E -0.958%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.5%2026-05-17 07:55
Coolbet2.34I 42.74%NM 41.45%EV -3.38%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -1.74%E -0.472%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 08:15
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.63%EV -2.14%E -0.905%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.17%EV -2.28%E -0.618%K -0.849%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.20%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 07:51
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.72%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -3.07%E -0.842%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 05:15
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.73%EV -1.73%E -0.727%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.63%EV -3.34%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.64%EV -4.50%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 07:56
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.39%EV -5.79%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 07:51
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 08:14
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -7.72%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:50
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:50
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 04:11
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.40%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 41.31%EV -4.62%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 07:55
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -4.18%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 05:26
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -4.18%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 05:20
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -9.99%E -4.58%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -9.99%E -4.58%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:39
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -9.99%E -4.58%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -5.73%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:45
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:56
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:55
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:56
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:56
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:05
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -10.81%E -5.01%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:50
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 07:45
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:50
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 07:50
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -8.36%E -2.93%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 05:15
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:56
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.71%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.36%E -2.93%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 07:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -15.02%E -4.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-17 07:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40