A Escola das Odds

Celta Vigo v Levante

Início: 2026-05-12 17:00 UTC

Final: Celta Vigo 2–3 Levante

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Celta Vigo (Local)

Previsão 49.86%2.01odd justa
EV -2.77%
Vantagem -1.42%
Kelly -2.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.06%49.96%49.80%52.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.901.9555.56%53.07%52.77%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Levante (Visitante)

Previsão 23.85%4.19odd justa
EV +4.92%
Vantagem +1.12%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescimento +0.071%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.97%23.78%23.83%25.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.933.904.4027.78%25.45%25.64%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.29%3.80odd justa
EV -0.080%
Vantagem -0.021%
Kelly -0.029%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.98%26.26%26.38%27.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.613.623.8032.26%27.71%27.62%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20%EV +4.92%E +1.12%K +1.45%G +0.071%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 16:50
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV +4.92%E +1.12%K +1.45%G +0.071%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.372%K -0.507%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV +4.92%E +1.12%K +1.45%G +0.071%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.372%K -0.507%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 16:50
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.37%EV -3.27%E -1.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.78%EV +2.30%E +0.535%K +0.698%G +0.016%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.85%EV -4.29%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 16:56
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.19%EV -3.77%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.34%EV -1.04%E -0.251%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.47%EV -3.76%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 16:50
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%EV -5.76%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.82%EV -1.04%E -0.251%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 16:49
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%EV -5.76%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.82%EV -1.04%E -0.251%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 16:56
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.80%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -2.24%E -0.545%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -0.080%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 16:50
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.24%E -0.545%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.58%EV -0.343%E -0.090%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 16:55
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -2.24%E -0.545%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.24%E -0.545%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:45
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.76%E -3.62%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -2.24%E -0.545%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 16:36
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.11%EV -3.27%E -1.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -0.080%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-12 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.37%EV -4.27%E -2.22%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -0.080%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 16:50
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.37%EV -4.27%E -2.22%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -0.080%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 16:50
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 15:24
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:45
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:35
Sky Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -6.76%E -3.62%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 16:35
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.76%E -3.62%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:35
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.77%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 16:26
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.77%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 16:20
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.83%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -4.02%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:55
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.26%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 16:50
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.26%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 16:50
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.26%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 16:50
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.26%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 16:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 14:50
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 16:50
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 16:50
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 16:50
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -4.02%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 16:50
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -8.76%E -4.78%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -4.02%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 16:31
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 16:50
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 16:40
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -9.25%E -5.08%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -8.20%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%EV -4.27%E -2.22%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.64%EV -8.67%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:53
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -1.39%E -0.372%K -0.507%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:56
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 14:50
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -2.77%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.37%EV -7.26%E -3.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -1.39%E -0.372%K -0.507%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 16:55
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 16:50
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -8.76%E -4.78%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 16:30
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.25%E -5.70%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 16:56
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -1.39%E -0.372%K -0.507%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 15:50
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 16:50
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 14:45
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 16:50
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -11.77%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.96%EV -8.26%E -4.49%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -11.77%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -4.02%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.77%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 16:30
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.77%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -7.26%E -3.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -11.77%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 16:55
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -12.97%E -3.55%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -4.02%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.25%E -5.70%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -18.49%E -5.96%K -8.80%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-12 15:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96%0.3%2026-05-12 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96%0.3%2026-05-12 16:55
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%0.6%2026-05-12 16:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-12 16:56
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-05-12 16:56
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.04%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-05-12 16:55