L’École des cotes

Celta Vigo v Levante

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 17:00 UTC

Score final : Celta Vigo 2–3 Levante

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Celta Vigo (Local)

Prévision 49.86%2.01cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -2.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.06%49.96%49.80%52.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.881.901.9555.56%53.07%52.77%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Levante (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.85%4.19cote équitable
EV +4.92%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.071%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.97%23.78%23.83%25.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.933.904.4027.78%25.45%25.64%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.29%3.80cote équitable
EV -0.080%
Avantage -0.021%
Kelly -0.029%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.98%26.26%26.38%27.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.613.623.8032.26%27.71%27.62%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20%EV +4.92%E +1.12%K +1.45%G +0.071%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 16:50
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV +4.92%E +1.12%K +1.45%G +0.071%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.372%K -0.507%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV +4.92%E +1.12%K +1.45%G +0.071%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.372%K -0.507%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 16:50
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.37%EV -3.27%E -1.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.78%EV +2.30%E +0.535%K +0.698%G +0.016%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.85%EV -4.29%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 16:56
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.19%EV -3.77%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.34%EV -1.04%E -0.251%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.47%EV -3.76%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 16:50
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%EV -5.76%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.82%EV -1.04%E -0.251%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 16:49
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%EV -5.76%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.82%EV -1.04%E -0.251%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 16:56
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.80%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -2.24%E -0.545%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -0.080%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 16:50
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.24%E -0.545%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.58%EV -0.343%E -0.090%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 16:55
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -2.24%E -0.545%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.24%E -0.545%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:45
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.76%E -3.62%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -2.24%E -0.545%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 16:36
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.11%EV -3.27%E -1.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -0.080%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-12 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.37%EV -4.27%E -2.22%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -0.080%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 16:50
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.37%EV -4.27%E -2.22%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -0.080%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 16:50
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 15:24
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:45
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:35
Sky Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -6.76%E -3.62%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 16:35
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.76%E -3.62%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:35
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.77%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 16:26
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.77%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 16:20
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.83%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -4.02%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:55
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.26%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 16:50
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.26%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 16:50
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.26%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 16:50
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.26%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 16:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 14:50
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 16:50
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 16:50
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 16:50
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -4.02%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 16:50
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -8.76%E -4.78%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -4.02%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 16:31
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 16:50
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 16:40
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -9.25%E -5.08%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -8.20%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%EV -4.27%E -2.22%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.64%EV -8.67%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:53
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -1.39%E -0.372%K -0.507%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:56
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 14:50
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -2.77%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.37%EV -7.26%E -3.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -1.39%E -0.372%K -0.507%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 16:55
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 16:50
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -8.76%E -4.78%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 16:30
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.25%E -5.70%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 16:56
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -1.39%E -0.372%K -0.507%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 15:50
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 16:50
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 14:45
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 16:50
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -11.77%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.71%E -0.732%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.96%EV -8.26%E -4.49%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -11.77%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -4.02%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.77%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 16:30
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.76%E -4.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.77%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -7.26%E -3.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -11.77%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 16:55
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -12.97%E -3.55%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -4.02%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.25%E -5.70%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -18.49%E -5.96%K -8.80%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-12 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96%0.3%2026-05-12 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96%0.3%2026-05-12 16:55
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%0.6%2026-05-12 16:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-12 16:56
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-05-12 16:56
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.04%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-05-12 16:55