L’École des cotes

Celta Vigo v Alavés

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 15:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Celta Vigo (Local)

Prévision 47.94%2.09cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.608%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.48%47.99%47.93%49.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.871.981.972.0653.48%50.61%50.76%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alavés (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.34%4.48cote équitable
EV +1.20%
Avantage +0.265%
Kelly +0.340%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.42%22.41%22.40%24.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.204.204.5326.32%23.81%23.81%22.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.72%3.36cote équitable
EV +1.06%
Avantage +0.312%
Kelly +0.442%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.83%29.60%29.67%30.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.173.203.4033.33%31.53%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.06%EV -7.48%E -3.88%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV +1.06%E +0.312%K +0.442%G +0.005%5.6%2026-03-22 13:19
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV +1.06%E +0.312%K +0.442%G +0.005%5.7%2026-03-22 14:54
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.91%EV -7.48%E -3.88%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -1.91%E -0.579%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 14:30
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.91%E -0.579%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 14:54
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -13.99%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -1.91%E -0.579%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 14:59
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.69%EV -4.61%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.77%EV -0.587%E -0.132%K -0.170%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.54%EV -2.51%E -0.764%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 14:59
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.18%EV -6.05%E -3.08%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.79%EV -2.51%E -0.764%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 14:59
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 48.00%EV -1.73%E -0.845%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.72%EV +1.20%E +0.265%K +0.340%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.6%2026-03-22 14:39
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.13%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.95%EV -1.03%E -0.233%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-22 14:44
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.73%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 14:24
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.73%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 14:24
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.05%EV -2.82%E -0.648%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.51%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 14:39
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 47.42%EV -3.65%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 14:59
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.88%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -11.76%E -2.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 14:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 14:54
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.25%E -0.608%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78%EV +0.530%E +0.118%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-22 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +0.530%E +0.118%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 14:24
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +0.530%E +0.118%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 14:24
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +0.530%E +0.118%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 14:30
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +0.530%E +0.118%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 14:40
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 14:14
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 48.22%EV -5.57%E -2.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 14:59
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 48.35%EV -6.05%E -3.08%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 15:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 14:39
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 15:00
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 14:15
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -15.11%E -3.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 14:15
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -15.11%E -3.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 14:54
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 14:39
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 14:54
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:54
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 14:59
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.19%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 14:39
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 14:15
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%EV -5.57%E -2.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 14:24
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%EV -5.57%E -2.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 14:24
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%EV -5.57%E -2.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 14:30
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%EV -5.57%E -2.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 14:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 14:29
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -2.82%E -0.648%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 14:24
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -2.82%E -0.648%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -2.82%E -0.648%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 14:24
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -3.27%E -0.755%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 14:15
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 14:15
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:15
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:15
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 14:15
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.03%EV -7.00%E -3.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -2.82%E -0.648%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -9.34%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:24
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -9.34%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 14:59
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.67%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 14:24
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.67%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 14:24
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.81%EV -7.96%E -4.15%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 14:24
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.69%EV -10.36%E -5.54%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.58%EV -11.76%E -2.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 14:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-03-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-03-22 14:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-03-22 14:40
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-03-22 15:00
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%1.6%2026-03-22 15:00
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-03-22 15:00