مدرسة الاحتمالات

Celta Vigo v Alavés

البداية: 2026-03-22 15:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Celta Vigo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.94%2.09السعر العادل
EV -1.25%
الأفضلية -0.608%
Kelly -1.18%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.48%47.99%47.93%49.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.871.981.972.0653.48%50.61%50.76%48.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alavés (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.34%4.48السعر العادل
EV +1.20%
الأفضلية +0.265%
Kelly +0.340%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.42%22.41%22.40%24.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.204.204.5326.32%23.81%23.81%22.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.72%3.36السعر العادل
EV +1.06%
الأفضلية +0.312%
Kelly +0.442%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.83%29.60%29.67%30.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.173.203.4033.33%31.53%31.25%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.06%EV -7.48%E -3.88%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV +1.06%E +0.312%K +0.442%G +0.005%5.6%2026-03-22 13:19
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV +1.06%E +0.312%K +0.442%G +0.005%5.7%2026-03-22 14:54
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.91%EV -7.48%E -3.88%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -1.91%E -0.579%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 14:30
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.91%E -0.579%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 14:54
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -13.99%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -1.91%E -0.579%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 14:59
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.69%EV -4.61%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.77%EV -0.587%E -0.132%K -0.170%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.54%EV -2.51%E -0.764%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 14:59
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.18%EV -6.05%E -3.08%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.79%EV -2.51%E -0.764%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 14:59
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 48.00%EV -1.73%E -0.845%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.72%EV +1.20%E +0.265%K +0.340%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.6%2026-03-22 14:39
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.13%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.95%EV -1.03%E -0.233%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-22 14:44
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.73%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 14:24
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.73%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 14:24
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.05%EV -2.82%E -0.648%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.51%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 14:39
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 47.42%EV -3.65%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 14:59
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.88%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -11.76%E -2.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 14:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 14:54
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.25%E -0.608%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78%EV +0.530%E +0.118%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-22 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +0.530%E +0.118%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 14:24
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +0.530%E +0.118%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 14:24
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +0.530%E +0.118%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 14:30
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +0.530%E +0.118%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 14:40
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 14:14
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 48.22%EV -5.57%E -2.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 14:59
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 48.35%EV -6.05%E -3.08%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 15:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 14:39
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 15:00
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 14:15
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -15.11%E -3.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 14:15
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -15.11%E -3.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 14:54
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 14:39
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 14:54
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:54
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 14:59
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.19%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 14:39
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 14:15
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%EV -5.57%E -2.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 14:24
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%EV -5.57%E -2.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 14:24
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%EV -5.57%E -2.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 14:30
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%EV -5.57%E -2.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 14:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 14:29
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -2.82%E -0.648%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 14:24
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -2.82%E -0.648%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -2.82%E -0.648%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 14:24
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -3.27%E -0.755%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 14:15
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 14:15
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:15
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:15
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.52%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.86%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 14:15
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.03%EV -7.00%E -3.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -2.82%E -0.648%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -9.34%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:24
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -9.34%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 14:59
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.67%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 14:24
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.67%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 14:24
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.81%EV -7.96%E -4.15%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 14:24
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.69%EV -10.36%E -5.54%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.58%EV -11.76%E -2.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 14:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-03-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-03-22 14:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-03-22 14:40
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-03-22 15:00
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%1.6%2026-03-22 15:00
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-03-22 15:00