L’École des cotes

CA Osasuna v Girona

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CA Osasuna (Local)

Prévision 47.19%2.12cote équitable
EV +1.47%
Avantage +0.683%
Kelly +1.28%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.72%47.09%47.21%48.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.022.012.1552.36%49.52%49.75%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Girona (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.13%3.83cote équitable
EV -0.706%
Avantage -0.186%
Kelly -0.252%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.09%26.20%26.13%28.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.583.603.8030.30%27.93%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.68%3.75cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.351%
Kelly -0.481%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.67%26.71%26.66%28.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.503.503.7032.26%28.59%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.39%EV +1.47%E +0.683%K +1.28%G +0.019%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-21 17:20
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.73%EV +0.052%E +0.025%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 17:19
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.73%EV +0.052%E +0.025%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 17:19
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.73%EV +0.052%E +0.025%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 17:20
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%EV -0.892%E -0.425%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -2.01%E -0.537%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 15:19
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.892%E -0.425%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:14
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -0.892%E -0.425%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.77%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:24
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.84%E -0.883%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:20
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.84%E -0.883%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:19
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.84%E -0.883%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:20
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.84%E -0.883%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:19
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.78%E -1.35%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.33%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.62%EV -2.90%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 17:19
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:59
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:20
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:20
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:19
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:19
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -13.77%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:20
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:20
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:20
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.62%EV -3.72%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.70%EV -1.23%E -0.325%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.69%EV -2.90%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 17:19
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.56%EV -3.72%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.77%EV -10.64%E -3.11%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -1.30%E -0.351%K -0.481%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:24
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -3.72%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:20
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.96%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV -0.706%E -0.186%K -0.252%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.54%EV -2.63%E -0.722%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 17:24
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.77%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.80%EV -2.27%E -0.608%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43%EV -2.63%E -0.722%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 17:24
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.77%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.80%EV -2.27%E -0.608%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43%EV -2.63%E -0.722%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 17:24
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 17:15
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 17:14
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 47.42%EV -5.14%E -2.56%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 17:24
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.98%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.73%EV -2.54%E -0.680%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -2.63%E -0.722%K -0.994%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 17:25
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -3.32%E -0.897%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:20
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:24
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.53%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.32%E -0.897%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:24
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.01%E -0.537%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:24
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.32%E -0.897%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 17:24
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:20
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:20
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:20
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:20
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:14
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:15
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.85%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -6.56%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -2.63%E -0.722%K -0.994%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:24
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -7.50%E -3.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:25
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.32%E -0.897%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:24
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.32%E -0.897%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:19
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -3.32%E -0.897%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -3.32%E -0.897%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 17:24
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -9.39%E -4.89%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 17:19
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 17:19
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -13.77%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -17.31%E -5.58%K -8.24%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-21 17:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-03-21 17:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-03-21 17:19
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-03-21 17:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-03-21 17:24
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-03-21 17:14
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.84%2.1%2026-03-21 17:24