La escuela de los momios

CA Osasuna v Girona

Inicio: 2026-03-21 17:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

CA Osasuna (Local)

Predicción 47.19%2.12momio equitativo
EV +1.47%
Ventaja +0.683%
Kelly +1.28%
Crecimiento +0.019%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.72%47.09%47.21%48.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.022.012.1552.36%49.52%49.75%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Girona (Visitante)

Predicción 26.13%3.83momio equitativo
EV -0.706%
Ventaja -0.186%
Kelly -0.252%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.09%26.20%26.13%28.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.583.603.8030.30%27.93%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.68%3.75momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.351%
Kelly -0.481%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.67%26.71%26.66%28.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.503.503.7032.26%28.59%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.39%EV +1.47%E +0.683%K +1.28%G +0.019%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-21 17:20
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.73%EV +0.052%E +0.025%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 17:19
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.73%EV +0.052%E +0.025%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 17:19
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.73%EV +0.052%E +0.025%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 17:20
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%EV -0.892%E -0.425%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -2.01%E -0.537%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 15:19
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.892%E -0.425%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:14
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -0.892%E -0.425%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.77%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:24
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.84%E -0.883%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:20
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.84%E -0.883%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:19
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.84%E -0.883%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:20
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.84%E -0.883%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:19
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.78%E -1.35%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.33%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.62%EV -2.90%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 17:19
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:59
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:20
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:20
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:19
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:19
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -13.77%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:20
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:20
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:20
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.62%EV -3.72%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.70%EV -1.23%E -0.325%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.69%EV -2.90%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 17:19
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.56%EV -3.72%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.77%EV -10.64%E -3.11%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -1.30%E -0.351%K -0.481%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:24
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -3.72%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:20
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.96%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV -0.706%E -0.186%K -0.252%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.54%EV -2.63%E -0.722%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 17:24
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.77%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.80%EV -2.27%E -0.608%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43%EV -2.63%E -0.722%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 17:24
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.77%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.80%EV -2.27%E -0.608%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43%EV -2.63%E -0.722%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 17:24
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 17:15
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 17:14
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 47.42%EV -5.14%E -2.56%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 17:24
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.98%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.73%EV -2.54%E -0.680%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -2.63%E -0.722%K -0.994%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 17:25
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -3.32%E -0.897%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:20
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:24
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.53%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.32%E -0.897%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:24
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.01%E -0.537%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:24
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.32%E -0.897%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 17:24
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:20
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:20
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:20
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:20
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:14
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:15
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.85%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -6.56%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -2.63%E -0.722%K -0.994%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:24
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -7.50%E -3.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:25
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.32%E -0.897%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:24
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.32%E -0.897%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:19
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -3.32%E -0.897%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -3.32%E -0.897%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.44%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 17:24
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -9.39%E -4.89%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 17:19
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 17:19
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -13.77%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -17.31%E -5.58%K -8.24%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-21 17:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-03-21 17:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-03-21 17:19
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-03-21 17:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-03-21 17:24
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-03-21 17:14
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.84%2.1%2026-03-21 17:24