L’École des cotes

CA Osasuna v Espanyol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

Score final : CA Osasuna 1–2 Espanyol

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CA Osasuna (Local)

Prévision 44.10%2.27cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.744%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.15%44.14%44.13%44.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.132.152.2350.00%47.02%46.51%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Espanyol (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.04%4.34cote équitable
EV +5.98%
Avantage +1.30%
Kelly +1.66%
Croissance +0.099%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.12%23.01%22.96%25.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.064.004.6028.57%24.63%25.00%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.86%3.04cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.470%
Kelly -0.705%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.87%32.85%32.91%34.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.872.883.0037.04%34.89%34.72%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.17%EV -2.98%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV +5.98%E +1.30%K +1.66%G +0.099%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.71%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-16 21:05
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.33%EV -3.87%E -1.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.11%EV +0.677%E +0.155%K +0.201%G +0.001%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.56%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 06:00
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.33%EV -3.87%E -1.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.11%EV +0.677%E +0.155%K +0.201%G +0.001%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.56%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 05:55
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%EV +0.216%E +0.050%K +0.065%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 23:16
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%EV +0.216%E +0.050%K +0.065%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 23:15
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%EV +0.216%E +0.050%K +0.065%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 23:15
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%EV +0.216%E +0.050%K +0.065%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 23:15
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 44.04%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%EV -0.936%E -0.218%K -0.284%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV -4.04%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.68%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -0.936%E -0.218%K -0.284%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 07:16
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%EV -1.66%E -0.744%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.09%EV -1.86%E -0.436%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.08%EV -2.98%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%EV -2.09%E -0.491%K -0.642%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.10%EV -3.71%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.63%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.53%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 10:31
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 05:25
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.63%EV -6.51%E -3.07%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.85%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 01:51
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.63%EV -6.51%E -3.07%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.85%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 01:50
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.63%EV -6.51%E -3.07%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.85%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 01:50
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.63%EV -6.51%E -3.07%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.85%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 01:50
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.86%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:15
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:16
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:15
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 43.89%EV -4.75%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.84%EV -4.39%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.14%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:30
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.78%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.73%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -5.68%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:39
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.31%EV -8.72%E -4.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.76%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 01:50
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.31%EV -8.72%E -4.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.76%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.31%EV -8.72%E -4.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.76%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 01:51
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -8.72%E -4.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.16%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.60%E -4.68%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 01:51
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87%EV -2.10%E -0.946%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.04%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87%EV -2.10%E -0.946%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.04%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68%EV -9.60%E -4.68%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.28%EV -10.04%E -4.92%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.85%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 23:16
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.01%EV -10.04%E -4.92%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.73%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25%EV -11.27%E -4.17%K -6.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.01%EV -10.04%E -4.92%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.73%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25%EV -11.27%E -4.17%K -6.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.13%EV -10.92%E -5.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -11.27%E -4.17%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 01:50
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.705%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 05:36
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -2.98%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 05:35
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -13.61%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.705%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:25
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -2.98%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -13.61%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:39
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -11.80%E -5.90%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -13.61%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 10:39
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -14.76%E -3.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.705%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -14.76%E -3.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.705%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.75%EV -11.80%E -5.90%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -19.37%E -5.53%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 07:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 45.03%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.97%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.99%0.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.32%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%1.6%2026-05-17 10:40