مدرسة الاحتمالات

CA Osasuna v Espanyol

البداية: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: CA Osasuna 1–2 Espanyol

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

CA Osasuna (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.10%2.27السعر العادل
EV -1.66%
الأفضلية -0.744%
Kelly -1.35%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.15%44.14%44.13%44.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.132.152.2350.00%47.02%46.51%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Espanyol (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.04%4.34السعر العادل
EV +5.98%
الأفضلية +1.30%
Kelly +1.66%
النمو +0.099%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.12%23.01%22.96%25.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.064.004.6028.57%24.63%25.00%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 32.86%3.04السعر العادل
EV -1.41%
الأفضلية -0.470%
Kelly -0.705%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.87%32.85%32.91%34.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.872.883.0037.04%34.89%34.72%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.17%EV -2.98%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV +5.98%E +1.30%K +1.66%G +0.099%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.71%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-16 21:05
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.33%EV -3.87%E -1.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.11%EV +0.677%E +0.155%K +0.201%G +0.001%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.56%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 06:00
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.33%EV -3.87%E -1.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.11%EV +0.677%E +0.155%K +0.201%G +0.001%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.56%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 05:55
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%EV +0.216%E +0.050%K +0.065%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 23:16
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%EV +0.216%E +0.050%K +0.065%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 23:15
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%EV +0.216%E +0.050%K +0.065%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 23:15
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%EV +0.216%E +0.050%K +0.065%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 23:15
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 44.04%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%EV -0.936%E -0.218%K -0.284%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV -4.04%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.68%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -0.936%E -0.218%K -0.284%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 07:16
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%EV -1.66%E -0.744%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.09%EV -1.86%E -0.436%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.08%EV -2.98%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%EV -2.09%E -0.491%K -0.642%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.10%EV -3.71%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.63%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.53%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 10:31
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 05:25
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.63%EV -6.51%E -3.07%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.85%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 01:51
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.63%EV -6.51%E -3.07%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.85%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 01:50
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.63%EV -6.51%E -3.07%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.85%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 01:50
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.63%EV -6.51%E -3.07%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.85%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 01:50
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.86%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:15
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:16
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:15
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 43.89%EV -4.75%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.84%EV -4.39%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.14%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:30
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.78%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.73%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -5.68%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:39
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.31%EV -8.72%E -4.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.76%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 01:50
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.31%EV -8.72%E -4.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.76%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.31%EV -8.72%E -4.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.76%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 01:51
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -8.72%E -4.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.16%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.60%E -4.68%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 01:51
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87%EV -2.10%E -0.946%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.04%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87%EV -2.10%E -0.946%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.04%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68%EV -9.60%E -4.68%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.28%EV -10.04%E -4.92%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.85%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 23:16
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.01%EV -10.04%E -4.92%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.73%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25%EV -11.27%E -4.17%K -6.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.01%EV -10.04%E -4.92%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.73%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25%EV -11.27%E -4.17%K -6.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.13%EV -10.92%E -5.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -11.27%E -4.17%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 01:50
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.705%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 05:36
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -2.98%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 05:35
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -13.61%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.705%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:25
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -2.98%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -13.61%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:39
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -11.80%E -5.90%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -13.61%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 10:39
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -14.76%E -3.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.705%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -14.76%E -3.99%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -1.41%E -0.470%K -0.705%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.75%EV -11.80%E -5.90%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -19.37%E -5.53%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 07:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 45.03%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.97%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.99%0.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.32%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%1.6%2026-05-17 10:40