Language:English
CA Osasuna v Espanyol
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CA Osasuna (Local)
Prediction 50.07%2.00fair odd
EV +0.132%
Edge +0.066%
Kelly +0.132%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.78%49.78%50.13%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.881.902.0057.47%53.20%52.77%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Espanyol (Visit)
Prediction 22.37%4.47fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -0.728%
Kelly -0.947%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.96%22.68%22.30%25.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.044.004.3327.03%24.74%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.57%3.63fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.287%
Kelly -0.398%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.61%27.54%27.58%28.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.403.403.5931.25%29.42%29.41%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CA Osasuna (Local): 50.07%; Espanyol (Visit): 22.37%; Draw: 27.57%. For CA Osasuna (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.997. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.132%.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV +0.132%E +0.066%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -17.24%E -4.66%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.73%EV -0.870%E -0.439%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.85%EV -3.60%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.43%EV -1.03%E -0.287%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV -3.15%E -0.728%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -1.31%E -0.365%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -12.77%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -12.77%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -12.77%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.85%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -4.94%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 20:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.85%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -4.94%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 20:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.32%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -3.82%E -0.889%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -15.01%E -3.95%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.05%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -3.82%E -0.889%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 18:17 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -8.88%E -4.88%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -9.38%E -5.18%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.30%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.96%EV -12.89%E -7.41%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.65%EV -12.89%E -7.41%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.35%EV -17.24%E -4.66%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.36% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.86% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.78% | 16.6% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 38.10% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 28.36% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 33.54% | 55.3% | 2026-08-30 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 22.04% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 42.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 35.88% | 116.0% | 2026-09-03 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 22.04% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 42.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 35.88% | 116.0% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 22.04% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 42.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 35.88% | 116.0% | 2026-09-03 19:40 |