預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

CA Osasuna v Espanyol

開賽時間: 2026-09-13 19:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

22 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

CA Osasuna (主隊)

預測 50.07%2.00公平賠率
EV +0.132%
優勢 +0.066%
Kelly +0.132%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.00

博彩公司預測分布
46.78%49.78%50.13%51.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.741.881.902.0057.47%53.20%52.77%50.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Espanyol (客隊)

預測 22.37%4.47公平賠率
EV -3.15%
優勢 -0.728%
Kelly -0.947%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.33

博彩公司預測分布
21.96%22.68%22.30%25.29%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.704.044.004.3327.03%24.74%25.00%23.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 27.57%3.63公平賠率
EV -1.03%
優勢 -0.287%
Kelly -0.398%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.59

博彩公司預測分布
26.61%27.54%27.58%28.02%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.203.403.403.5931.25%29.42%29.41%27.86%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:CA Osasuna (主隊):50.07%;Espanyol (客隊):22.37%;和局:27.57%。 對於「CA Osasuna (主隊)」,該估計相當於1.997的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.000,對應+0.132%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (22 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV +0.132%E +0.066%K +0.132%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -17.24%E -4.66%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 18:10
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.73%EV -0.870%E -0.439%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.85%EV -3.60%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.43%EV -1.03%E -0.287%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 18:25
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV -3.15%E -0.728%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -1.31%E -0.365%K -0.507%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 12:20
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 18:30
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -12.77%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -12.77%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 18:15
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -12.77%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 18:15
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.85%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -4.94%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:50
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.85%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -4.94%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.32%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -3.82%E -0.889%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 17:45
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 12:40
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -15.01%E -3.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 18:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.05%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -3.82%E -0.889%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.06%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 18:17
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -8.88%E -4.88%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -9.38%E -5.18%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.30%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.96%EV -12.89%E -7.41%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.65%EV -12.89%E -7.41%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.35%EV -17.24%E -4.66%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-30 17:45
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 46.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.86%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.78%16.6%2026-09-04 09:25
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 38.10%2.27I 44.05%NM 28.36%1.92I 52.08%NM 33.54%55.3%2026-08-30 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 22.04%1.10I 90.91%NM 42.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 35.88%116.0%2026-09-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 22.04%1.10I 90.91%NM 42.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 35.88%116.0%2026-09-04 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 22.04%1.10I 90.91%NM 42.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 35.88%116.0%2026-09-03 19:40