La scuola delle quote

Barcelona v Espanyol

Inizio: 2026-04-11 16:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Barcelona (Casa)

Previsione 72.29%1.38quota equa
EV -2.41%
Vantaggio -1.79%
Kelly -6.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.73%72.05%72.46%73.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.311.311.3580.00%76.23%76.34%74.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Espanyol (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.28%8.86quota equa
EV +10.55%
Vantaggio +1.08%
Kelly +1.20%
Crescita +0.127%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.71%11.40%11.09%13.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.008.268.009.8014.29%12.11%12.50%10.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 16.43%6.09quota equa
EV -1.40%
Vantaggio -0.233%
Kelly -0.280%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.71%16.55%16.45%19.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.585.506.0022.22%17.93%18.18%16.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.12%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +10.55%E +1.08%K +1.20%G +0.127%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -11.26%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:25
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.12%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +10.55%E +1.08%K +1.20%G +0.127%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -11.26%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:25
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +7.17%E +0.755%K +0.843%G +0.060%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 16:25
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.95%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.55%EV +3.78%E +0.411%K +0.461%G +0.017%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%EV -3.37%E -0.573%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 16:20
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.23%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85%EV +1.53%E +0.170%K +0.191%G +0.003%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.28%EV -1.40%E -0.233%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 16:05
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.97%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.70%EV +1.53%E +0.170%K +0.191%G +0.003%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.33%EV -3.04%E -0.515%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 15:39
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.97%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.70%EV +1.53%E +0.170%K +0.191%G +0.003%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.33%EV -3.04%E -0.515%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 15:39
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +1.53%E +0.170%K +0.191%G +0.003%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 15:53
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +1.53%E +0.170%K +0.191%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 16:25
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +1.53%E +0.170%K +0.191%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -17.83%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 16:20
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.64%E -7.71%K -38.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +1.53%E +0.170%K +0.191%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 16:25
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.46%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.23%G +0.000%8.87I 11.27%NM 10.95%EV +0.061%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.60%EV -3.86%E -0.660%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 16:15
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -2.41%E -1.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02%EV -0.729%E -0.083%K -0.093%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV -7.15%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 15:39
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.69%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.64%EV -1.29%E -0.148%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -7.97%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 16:25
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:10
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 16:25
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:19
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:03
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:25
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.77%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.19%EV -4.68%E -0.808%K -0.976%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:25
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 15:44
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 15:44
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 15:34
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -13.72%E -2.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 16:05
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -13.72%E -2.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 15:44
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 71.96%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.51%EV -6.93%E -0.840%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -2.41%E -1.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 16:25
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -2.41%E -1.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 16:24
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -2.41%E -1.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 16:25
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.20%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -1.40%E -0.233%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:25
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:25
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:25
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:25
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -1.40%E -0.233%K -0.280%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:25
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 15:19
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.17%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 16:25
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -11.26%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -11.26%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 16:25
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -11.26%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 16:25
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 16:25
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 16:25
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -12.90%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 16:25
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -12.90%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 16:25
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -12.90%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:25
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -13.72%E -2.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -9.64%E -7.71%K -38.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -26.05%E -5.79%K -7.44%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-11 15:47
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.08%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.18%EV -12.57%E -1.62%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -1.40%E -0.233%K -0.280%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 15:50
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 71.80%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.77%EV -12.57%E -1.62%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.43%EV -8.79%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 16:24
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 70.68%EV -2.41%E -1.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV -15.39%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 15:05
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.39%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:25
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.39%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 15:09
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.56%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -15.39%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -4.68%E -0.808%K -0.976%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 15:39
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -15.39%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -17.83%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 15:10
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 70.53%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.23%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.04%EV -18.21%E -2.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 15:04
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -21.03%E -3.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -21.03%E -3.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -21.03%E -3.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 15:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-04-11 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-04-11 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-04-11 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-04-11 16:20
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.21%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%1.3%2026-04-11 16:25
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 74.45%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%1.8%2026-04-11 16:25