مدرسة الاحتمالات

Barcelona v Espanyol

البداية: 2026-04-11 16:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Barcelona (المضيف)

التنبؤ 72.29%1.38السعر العادل
EV -2.41%
الأفضلية -1.79%
Kelly -6.90%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.73%72.05%72.46%73.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.311.311.3580.00%76.23%76.34%74.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Espanyol (الضيف)

التنبؤ 11.28%8.86السعر العادل
EV +10.55%
الأفضلية +1.08%
Kelly +1.20%
النمو +0.127%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
9.71%11.40%11.09%13.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.008.268.009.8014.29%12.11%12.50%10.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 16.43%6.09السعر العادل
EV -1.40%
الأفضلية -0.233%
Kelly -0.280%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.71%16.55%16.45%19.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.585.506.0022.22%17.93%18.18%16.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.12%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +10.55%E +1.08%K +1.20%G +0.127%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -11.26%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:25
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.12%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +10.55%E +1.08%K +1.20%G +0.127%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -11.26%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:25
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +7.17%E +0.755%K +0.843%G +0.060%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 16:25
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.95%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.55%EV +3.78%E +0.411%K +0.461%G +0.017%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%EV -3.37%E -0.573%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 16:20
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.23%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85%EV +1.53%E +0.170%K +0.191%G +0.003%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.28%EV -1.40%E -0.233%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 16:05
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.97%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.70%EV +1.53%E +0.170%K +0.191%G +0.003%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.33%EV -3.04%E -0.515%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 15:39
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.97%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.70%EV +1.53%E +0.170%K +0.191%G +0.003%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.33%EV -3.04%E -0.515%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 15:39
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +1.53%E +0.170%K +0.191%G +0.003%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 15:53
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +1.53%E +0.170%K +0.191%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 16:25
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +1.53%E +0.170%K +0.191%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -17.83%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 16:20
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.64%E -7.71%K -38.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +1.53%E +0.170%K +0.191%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 16:25
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.46%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.23%G +0.000%8.87I 11.27%NM 10.95%EV +0.061%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.60%EV -3.86%E -0.660%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 16:15
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -2.41%E -1.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02%EV -0.729%E -0.083%K -0.093%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV -7.15%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 15:39
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.69%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.64%EV -1.29%E -0.148%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -7.97%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 16:25
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:10
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 16:25
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:19
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:03
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:25
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.77%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.19%EV -4.68%E -0.808%K -0.976%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:25
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 15:44
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 15:44
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 15:34
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -13.72%E -2.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 16:05
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -4.11%E -0.484%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -13.72%E -2.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 15:44
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 71.96%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.51%EV -6.93%E -0.840%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -2.41%E -1.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 16:25
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -2.41%E -1.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 16:24
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -2.41%E -1.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 16:25
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.20%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -1.40%E -0.233%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:25
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:25
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:25
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:25
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -1.40%E -0.233%K -0.280%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:25
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 15:19
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.17%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 16:25
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -11.26%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -11.26%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 16:25
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -11.26%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 16:25
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 16:25
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -9.61%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 16:25
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -12.90%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 16:25
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -12.90%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 16:25
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -12.90%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:25
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -13.72%E -2.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -9.64%E -7.71%K -38.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -9.75%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -26.05%E -5.79%K -7.44%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-11 15:47
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.08%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.18%EV -12.57%E -1.62%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -1.40%E -0.233%K -0.280%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 15:50
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 71.80%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.77%EV -12.57%E -1.62%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.43%EV -8.79%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 16:24
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 70.68%EV -2.41%E -1.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV -15.39%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 15:05
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.39%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:25
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.39%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 15:09
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.56%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -15.39%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -4.68%E -0.808%K -0.976%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 15:39
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -15.39%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -17.83%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 15:10
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 70.53%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.23%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.04%EV -18.21%E -2.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 15:04
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -21.03%E -3.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -21.03%E -3.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -21.03%E -3.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.51%E -0.958%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 15:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-04-11 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-04-11 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-04-11 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-04-11 16:20
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.21%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%1.3%2026-04-11 16:25
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 74.45%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%1.8%2026-04-11 16:25