默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Barcelona v Athletic Bilbao

开赛时间: 2026-08-27 19:00 UTC

最终结果: Barcelona 2–0 Athletic Bilbao

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Barcelona (主队)

预测 77.70%1.29公平赔率
EV -2.87%
优势 -2.30%
Kelly -11.48%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.25

博彩公司预测分布
75.30%77.59%77.74%80.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.171.221.221.2585.47%81.81%81.97%80.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Athletic Bilbao (客队)

预测 8.25%12.13公平赔率
EV +15.44%
优势 +1.10%
Kelly +1.19%
增长率 +0.183%

假设最高赔率为 14.00

博彩公司预测分布
6.73%8.27%8.25%10.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.7511.4011.5014.0011.43%8.77%8.70%7.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 14.05%7.12公平赔率
EV +5.24%
优势 +0.699%
Kelly +0.807%
增长率 +0.042%

假设最高赔率为 7.49

博彩公司预测分布
12.73%14.15%14.01%16.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.706.666.507.4917.54%15.01%15.38%13.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Barcelona (主队):77.70%;Athletic Bilbao (客队):8.25%;平局:14.05%。 对于“Athletic Bilbao (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.13。 当时有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为14.00,对应+15.44%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.54%EV -9.09%E -7.77%K -53.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +15.44%E +1.10%K +1.19%G +0.183%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.73%EV +3.97%E +0.537%K +0.621%G +0.025%6.1%2026-08-27 18:35
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.80%EV -3.65%E -2.94%K -15.20%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.24%EV +11.32%E +0.839%K +0.906%G +0.103%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.96%EV -1.65%E -0.235%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-27 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.09%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +11.32%E +0.839%K +0.906%G +0.103%7.01I 14.27%NM 13.76%EV -1.51%E -0.215%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-27 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.09%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +11.32%E +0.839%K +0.906%G +0.103%7.01I 14.27%NM 13.76%EV -1.51%E -0.215%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-27 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -5.98%E -4.94%K -28.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +7.20%E +0.554%K +0.600%G +0.043%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -5.16%E -0.765%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 18:29
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -5.98%E -4.94%K -28.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +7.20%E +0.554%K +0.600%G +0.043%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.77%EV -8.31%E -7.04%K -46.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +7.20%E +0.554%K +0.600%G +0.043%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV +1.86%E +0.257%K +0.298%G +0.006%6.2%2026-08-27 18:34
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -6.76%E -5.63%K -33.78%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +7.20%E +0.554%K +0.600%G +0.043%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 18:30
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.48%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%12.80I 7.81%NM 7.58%EV +5.55%E +0.434%K +0.470%G +0.026%7.49I 13.35%NM 12.95%EV +5.24%E +0.699%K +0.807%G +0.042%3.1%2026-08-27 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 78.21%EV -2.87%E -2.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%EV +3.08%E +0.246%K +0.267%G +0.008%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%EV -1.65%E -0.235%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-27 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 78.21%EV -2.87%E -2.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%EV +3.08%E +0.246%K +0.267%G +0.008%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%EV -1.65%E -0.235%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-27 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 78.21%EV -2.87%E -2.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%EV +3.08%E +0.246%K +0.267%G +0.008%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%EV -1.65%E -0.235%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-27 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.49%EV -4.42%E -3.60%K -19.24%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.72%EV +3.08%E +0.246%K +0.267%G +0.008%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -1.65%E -0.235%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-27 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.09%EV -4.42%E -3.60%K -19.24%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +3.08%E +0.246%K +0.267%G +0.008%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -5.16%E -0.765%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.64%EV -2.87%E -2.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.27%EV -4.46%E -0.656%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-27 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.27%EV -3.65%E -2.94%K -15.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.74%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-27 18:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.06%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.00%EV -4.46%E -0.656%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 18:55
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 18:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.76%E -5.63%K -33.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -1.65%E -0.235%K -0.275%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.31%E -7.04%K -46.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -1.05%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.59%EV -2.87%E -2.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.25%EV -3.11%E -0.265%K -0.289%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 14.16%EV -3.76%E -0.548%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-27 18:55
BetUS🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.81%EV -4.42%E -3.60%K -19.24%G +0.000%11.65I 8.58%NM 8.22%EV -3.93%E -0.338%K -0.369%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.97%EV -3.76%E -0.548%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-27 14:40
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.492%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -1.65%E -0.235%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-27 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.15%EV -4.42%E -3.60%K -19.24%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.492%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 18:55
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.15%EV -4.42%E -3.60%K -19.24%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.492%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 18:55
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.15%EV -4.42%E -3.60%K -19.24%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.492%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 18:55
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.15%EV -4.42%E -3.60%K -19.24%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.492%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 18:55
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -2.87%E -2.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -19.91%E -3.49%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -2.87%E -2.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -5.17%E -0.450%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -19.91%E -3.49%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 18:50
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -1.65%E -0.235%K -0.275%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -1.65%E -0.235%K -0.275%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 18:54
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 18:54
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 18:15
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 18:50
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 18:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.83%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -10.08%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 18:55
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.83%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -10.08%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.60%EV -7.53%E -6.33%K -39.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV +1.86%E +0.257%K +0.298%G +0.006%6.9%2026-08-27 18:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.71%EV -6.76%E -5.63%K -33.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -5.16%E -0.765%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-27 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -7.53%E -6.33%K -39.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.65%E -0.235%K -0.275%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -9.29%E -0.845%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -15.70%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 16:10
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.41%EV -8.31%E -7.04%K -46.16%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 8.54%EV -11.77%E -1.10%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-27 18:56
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.55%EV -4.42%E -3.60%K -19.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -4.42%E -3.60%K -19.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-27 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -4.42%E -3.60%K -19.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-27 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.13%EV -5.98%E -4.94%K -28.47%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-27 18:55
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.13%EV -5.98%E -4.94%K -28.47%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -13.42%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-27 18:56
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 18:55
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -17.54%E -1.75%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 18:50
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -2.87%E -2.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -21.66%E -2.28%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV -1.65%E -0.235%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -2.87%E -2.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -21.66%E -2.28%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV -1.65%E -0.235%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -6.76%E -5.63%K -33.78%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -21.66%E -2.28%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -15.70%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-27 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -2.87%E -2.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -25.79%E -2.87%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -1.65%E -0.235%K -0.275%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 18:55
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.52%EV -3.65%E -2.94%K -15.20%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -27.85%E -3.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%EV -4.46%E -0.656%K -0.769%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-27 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.52%EV -3.65%E -2.94%K -15.20%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -27.85%E -3.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%EV -4.46%E -0.656%K -0.769%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-27 18:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 79.35%14.01I 7.14%NM 7.14%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.51%0.0%2026-08-27 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 79.14%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.39%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.47%0.3%2026-08-27 18:55
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.46%0.4%2026-08-27 18:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.48%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.7%2026-08-27 18:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.48%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%0.7%2026-08-27 18:56
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.84%1.3%2026-08-27 18:56