La scuola delle quote

Barcelona v Athletic Bilbao

2026-08-27 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

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29 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Barcelona (Casa)

Previsione 67.24%1.49quota equa
EV -2.51%
Vantaggio -1.73%
Kelly -5.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.25%67.34%67.25%68.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.391.401.4576.92%72.18%71.43%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Athletic Bilbao (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.82%7.23quota equa
EV +3.68%
Vantaggio +0.490%
Kelly +0.566%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.90%13.82%13.74%14.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.106.736.507.5016.39%14.85%15.38%13.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 18.94%5.28quota equa
EV +0.382%
Vantaggio +0.072%
Kelly +0.089%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.78%18.84%19.00%19.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.504.955.005.3022.22%20.21%20.00%18.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 67.75%EV -2.51%E -1.73%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.10%EV +3.68%E +0.490%K +0.566%G +0.021%5.13I 19.49%NM 19.15%EV -2.84%E -0.553%K -0.687%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-19 01:04
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 68.13%EV -4.52%E -3.19%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.90%EV +3.68%E +0.490%K +0.566%G +0.021%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.97%EV -3.41%E -0.668%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-22 15:39
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 68.13%EV -4.52%E -3.19%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.90%EV +3.68%E +0.490%K +0.566%G +0.021%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.97%EV -3.41%E -0.668%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-22 20:49
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.73%EV -3.85%E -2.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.09%EV +2.29%E +0.310%K +0.359%G +0.008%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.18%EV -4.35%E -0.862%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 01:00
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.06%EV -5.87%E -4.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -3.23%E -0.462%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32%EV -1.51%E -0.291%K -0.360%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 09:10
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.87%E -4.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -3.23%E -0.462%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -3.41%E -0.668%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 21:04
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.87%E -4.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -3.23%E -0.462%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-14 11:29
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.98%EV -6.54%E -4.71%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -3.23%E -0.462%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -3.41%E -0.668%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-14 11:29
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -5.87%E -4.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.23%E -0.462%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 08:04
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.77%EV -7.89%E -5.76%K -21.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.23%E -0.462%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV +0.382%E +0.072%K +0.089%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 13:15
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.89%E -5.76%K -21.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.23%E -0.462%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -3.41%E -0.668%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 11:29
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 67.38%EV -6.54%E -4.71%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.82I 14.66%NM 13.73%EV -5.72%E -0.839%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 18.88%EV -6.06%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 15:29
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -3.18%E -2.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -10.15%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 08:15
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -3.85%E -2.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -10.15%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 08:15
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 66.46%EV -5.20%E -3.69%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -10.15%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 21:52
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.87%E -4.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.15%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-14 11:29
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.87%E -4.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.15%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 08:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.87%E -4.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.15%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.87%E -4.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.15%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 08:15
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.94%EV -7.21%E -5.23%K -18.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -10.15%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.85%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.76%EV -8.56%E -6.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -10.15%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -3.41%E -0.668%K -0.831%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 14:35
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -7.89%E -5.76%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -10.15%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.03%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-23 16:10
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.56%E -6.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.15%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.03%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 01:05
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.56%E -6.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.15%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.03%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-14 11:29
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.56%E -6.29%K -23.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.15%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.03%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 08:30
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.02%EV -12.59%E -9.69%K -41.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.61%EV -11.53%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.36%EV -14.77%E -3.28%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-25 09:15
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 66.99%EV -11.92%E -9.10%K -38.45%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.93%EV -12.91%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.08%EV -12.88%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.21%EV -9.90%E -7.39%K -29.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.41%EV -13.60%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.38%EV -11.25%E -8.52%K -35.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.36%EV -15.68%E -2.57%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.26%EV -13.82%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 09:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.77%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.37%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.87%3.9%2026-07-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.77%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.37%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.87%3.9%2026-07-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.77%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.37%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.87%3.9%2026-07-26 03:15
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 65.34%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.91%16.8%2026-07-25 09:10