L’École des cotes

Atlético Madrid v Girona

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

Score final : Atlético Madrid 1–0 Girona

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlético Madrid (Local)

Prévision 53.69%1.86cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.657%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.99%53.61%53.71%54.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.771.771.8459.88%56.59%56.50%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Girona (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.10%4.53cote équitable
EV +0.545%
Avantage +0.120%
Kelly +0.153%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.25%22.17%22.08%23.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.244.204.5526.32%23.61%23.81%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.21%4.13cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.420%
Kelly -0.557%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.47%24.23%24.21%26.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.833.864.0630.30%26.09%25.91%24.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.71%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.25%EV +0.545%E +0.120%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%EV -6.55%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 02:05
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.71%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.25%EV +0.545%E +0.120%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%EV -6.55%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 02:05
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 53.53%EV -1.21%E -0.657%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.84%EV -0.339%E -0.075%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%EV -3.16%E -0.789%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV -0.560%E -0.124%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -3.16%E -0.789%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.82%E -1.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.80%EV -1.67%E -0.374%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.62%EV -4.61%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.32%EV -2.82%E -1.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%EV -2.77%E -0.630%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.32%EV -2.82%E -1.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%EV -2.77%E -0.630%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.32%EV -2.82%E -1.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%EV -2.77%E -0.630%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.32%EV -2.82%E -1.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%EV -2.77%E -0.630%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.86%EV -3.89%E -2.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.91%EV -2.77%E -0.630%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.22%EV -3.64%E -0.915%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 10:31
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.88%EV -4.97%E -2.81%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -2.77%E -0.630%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -6.58%E -3.78%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.77%E -0.630%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 17:40
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -7.65%E -4.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.77%E -0.630%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.16%E -0.789%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -2.82%E -1.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%EV -3.87%E -0.891%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.94%EV -1.70%E -0.420%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.60%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93%EV -3.87%E -0.891%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.30%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -4.32%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -3.16%E -0.789%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:39
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.32%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -4.32%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.52%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -3.16%E -0.789%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 10:39
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.63%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.63%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -4.97%E -2.81%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:40
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.49%EV -4.97%E -2.81%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -4.97%E -2.81%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.16%E -0.789%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:39
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 05:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:40
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.65%E -4.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 53.65%EV -9.26%E -5.48%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.85%EV -8.29%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -10.42%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -5.50%E -3.13%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 05:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -4.97%E -2.81%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:40
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.81%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:39
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.63%E -3.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.63%E -3.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.63%E -3.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -6.58%E -3.78%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -12.84%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -7.65%E -4.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.84%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.97%E -2.81%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -3.16%E -0.789%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -6.58%E -3.78%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -7.11%E -4.11%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.84%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -7.65%E -4.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -12.84%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 52.38%EV -8.19%E -4.79%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -14.05%E -3.96%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 04:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -10.34%E -6.19%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -20.10%E -6.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-17 10:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -7.11%E -4.11%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -16.03%E -4.22%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.45%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.78%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-05-17 10:40