مدرسة الاحتمالات

Atlético Madrid v Girona

البداية: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Atlético Madrid 1–0 Girona

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Atlético Madrid (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.69%1.86السعر العادل
EV -1.21%
الأفضلية -0.657%
Kelly -1.44%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.84

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.99%53.61%53.71%54.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.771.771.8459.88%56.59%56.50%54.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Girona (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.10%4.53السعر العادل
EV +0.545%
الأفضلية +0.120%
Kelly +0.153%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.25%22.17%22.08%23.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.244.204.5526.32%23.61%23.81%21.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.21%4.13السعر العادل
EV -1.70%
الأفضلية -0.420%
Kelly -0.557%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.47%24.23%24.21%26.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.833.864.0630.30%26.09%25.91%24.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.71%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.25%EV +0.545%E +0.120%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%EV -6.55%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 02:05
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.71%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.25%EV +0.545%E +0.120%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%EV -6.55%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 02:05
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 53.53%EV -1.21%E -0.657%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.84%EV -0.339%E -0.075%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%EV -3.16%E -0.789%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV -0.560%E -0.124%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -3.16%E -0.789%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.82%E -1.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.80%EV -1.67%E -0.374%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.62%EV -4.61%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.32%EV -2.82%E -1.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%EV -2.77%E -0.630%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.32%EV -2.82%E -1.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%EV -2.77%E -0.630%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.32%EV -2.82%E -1.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%EV -2.77%E -0.630%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.32%EV -2.82%E -1.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%EV -2.77%E -0.630%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.86%EV -3.89%E -2.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.91%EV -2.77%E -0.630%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.22%EV -3.64%E -0.915%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 10:31
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.88%EV -4.97%E -2.81%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -2.77%E -0.630%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -6.58%E -3.78%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.77%E -0.630%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 17:40
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -7.65%E -4.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.77%E -0.630%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.16%E -0.789%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -2.82%E -1.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%EV -3.87%E -0.891%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.94%EV -1.70%E -0.420%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.60%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93%EV -3.87%E -0.891%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.30%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -4.32%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -3.16%E -0.789%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:39
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.32%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -4.32%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.52%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -3.16%E -0.789%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 10:39
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.63%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.63%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -4.97%E -2.81%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:40
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.98%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.49%EV -4.97%E -2.81%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -4.97%E -2.81%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.16%E -0.789%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:39
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 05:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:40
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.65%E -4.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.19%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 53.65%EV -9.26%E -5.48%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.85%EV -8.29%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -10.42%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -5.50%E -3.13%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 05:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -4.43%E -2.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -4.97%E -2.81%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:40
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.81%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:39
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.63%E -3.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.63%E -3.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -6.04%E -3.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.63%E -3.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -6.58%E -3.78%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -12.84%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -7.65%E -4.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.40%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.84%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.97%E -2.81%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -3.16%E -0.789%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -6.58%E -3.78%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -7.11%E -4.11%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.84%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -7.65%E -4.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -12.84%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 52.38%EV -8.19%E -4.79%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -14.05%E -3.96%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 04:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -10.34%E -6.19%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -11.61%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -20.10%E -6.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-17 10:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -7.11%E -4.11%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -16.03%E -4.22%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.00%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.45%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.78%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-05-17 10:40