L’École des cotes

Atlético Madrid v Getafe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 15:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlético Madrid (Local)

Prévision 57.60%1.74cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.882%
Kelly -2.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.81%57.72%57.43%59.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.641.641.7163.69%61.11%60.98%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Getafe (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.49%6.45cote équitable
EV +8.45%
Avantage +1.21%
Kelly +1.41%
Croissance +0.119%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.78%15.31%15.65%16.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.286.257.0018.18%15.93%16.00%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.91%3.72cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.487%
Kelly -0.670%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.16%26.97%26.92%28.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.473.503.6532.26%28.85%28.57%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.95%EV +8.45%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-14 14:45
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.03%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV +8.45%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%EV -3.12%E -0.867%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-14 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.28%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV +8.45%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-14 14:45
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 58.28%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV +8.45%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-14 14:45
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.58%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%EV +8.45%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 14:44
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.19%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +8.45%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.03%EV -3.93%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 10:45
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.19%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +8.45%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.03%EV -3.93%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 10:45
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.80%EV -4.39%E -2.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.46%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.74%EV -1.78%E -0.487%K -0.670%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-14 15:00
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:45
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:45
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -7.27%E -4.51%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:49
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -7.27%E -4.51%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -7.27%E -4.51%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:44
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.32%EV -7.84%E -4.90%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:45
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +0.699%E +0.108%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 14:30
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +0.699%E +0.108%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +0.699%E +0.108%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 14:34
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -7.27%E -4.51%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV +0.699%E +0.108%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:30
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +0.699%E +0.108%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 15:08
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.48%EV -7.84%E -4.90%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +0.699%E +0.108%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:30
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.23%EV -9.57%E -6.10%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV +0.699%E +0.108%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:40
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.84%E -4.90%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -0.850%E -0.133%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.84%E -4.90%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -0.850%E -0.133%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:45
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 15:08
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.77%EV -5.54%E -3.38%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.07%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 15:10
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.68%EV -9.00%E -5.69%K -15.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 15:05
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.01%EV -2.08%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.84%EV -5.19%E -0.848%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.15%EV -3.93%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 15:10
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.27%E -4.51%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -5.50%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 15:10
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 15:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.12%E -0.867%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:59
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:15
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.48%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 15:10
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.26%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:49
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.12%E -0.867%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 15:10
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.12%E -0.867%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:30
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 15:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 14:19
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -7.84%E -4.90%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 15:10
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.22%EV -1.51%E -0.882%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.16%EV -7.82%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.62%EV -6.35%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 15:10
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.41%EV -8.42%E -5.30%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.34%EV -7.82%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 15:05
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.88%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.20%EV -8.60%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 14:20
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.88%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.20%EV -8.60%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 14:20
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -10.15%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 15:09
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:20
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 15:10
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 56.57%EV -5.54%E -3.38%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 15:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:54
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.75%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.81%EV -9.57%E -6.10%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.93%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -16.58%E -5.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 14:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.53%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-14 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.53%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-14 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.14%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.24%0.6%2026-03-14 15:10
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.14%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.24%0.6%2026-03-14 15:10
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-03-14 15:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-03-14 15:10