مدرسة الاحتمالات

Atlético Madrid v Getafe

البداية: 2026-03-14 15:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Atlético Madrid (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.60%1.74السعر العادل
EV -1.51%
الأفضلية -0.882%
Kelly -2.12%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.81%57.72%57.43%59.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.641.641.7163.69%61.11%60.98%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Getafe (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.49%6.45السعر العادل
EV +8.45%
الأفضلية +1.21%
Kelly +1.41%
النمو +0.119%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.78%15.31%15.65%16.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.506.286.257.0018.18%15.93%16.00%14.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.91%3.72السعر العادل
EV -1.78%
الأفضلية -0.487%
Kelly -0.670%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.16%26.97%26.92%28.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.473.503.6532.26%28.85%28.57%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.95%EV +8.45%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-14 14:45
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.03%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV +8.45%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%EV -3.12%E -0.867%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-14 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.28%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV +8.45%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-14 14:45
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 58.28%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV +8.45%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-14 14:45
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.58%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%EV +8.45%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 14:44
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.19%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +8.45%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.03%EV -3.93%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 10:45
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.19%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +8.45%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.03%EV -3.93%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 10:45
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.80%EV -4.39%E -2.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.46%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.74%EV -1.78%E -0.487%K -0.670%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-14 15:00
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:45
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:45
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -7.27%E -4.51%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:49
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -7.27%E -4.51%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -7.27%E -4.51%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:44
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.32%EV -7.84%E -4.90%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV +4.57%E +0.677%K +0.795%G +0.036%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:45
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +0.699%E +0.108%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 14:30
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +0.699%E +0.108%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +0.699%E +0.108%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 14:34
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -7.27%E -4.51%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV +0.699%E +0.108%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:30
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +0.699%E +0.108%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 15:08
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.48%EV -7.84%E -4.90%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +0.699%E +0.108%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -7.16%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:30
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.23%EV -9.57%E -6.10%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV +0.699%E +0.108%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:40
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.84%E -4.90%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -0.850%E -0.133%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.84%E -4.90%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -0.850%E -0.133%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:45
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 15:08
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.77%EV -5.54%E -3.38%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.07%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 15:10
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.68%EV -9.00%E -5.69%K -15.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 15:05
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.01%EV -2.08%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.84%EV -5.19%E -0.848%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.15%EV -3.93%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 15:10
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.01%EV -7.27%E -4.51%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -5.50%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 15:10
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 15:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.12%E -0.867%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:59
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:15
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.48%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 15:10
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.26%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:49
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.12%E -0.867%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 15:10
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.12%E -0.867%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:30
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 15:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 14:19
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -7.84%E -4.90%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 15:10
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.22%EV -1.51%E -0.882%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.16%EV -7.82%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.62%EV -6.35%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 15:10
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.41%EV -8.42%E -5.30%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.34%EV -7.82%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 15:05
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.88%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.20%EV -8.60%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 14:20
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.88%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.20%EV -8.60%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 14:20
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -10.15%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 15:09
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:20
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 15:10
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 56.57%EV -5.54%E -3.38%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 15:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:54
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.75%EV -6.12%E -3.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.81%EV -9.57%E -6.10%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.93%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -16.58%E -5.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 14:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.53%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-14 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.53%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-14 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.14%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.24%0.6%2026-03-14 15:10
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.14%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.24%0.6%2026-03-14 15:10
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-03-14 15:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-03-14 15:10