默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlético Madrid v Espanyol

开赛时间: 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlético Madrid (主队)

预测 67.26%1.49公平赔率
EV -0.459%
优势 -0.310%
Kelly -0.957%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.48

博彩公司预测分布
64.74%67.16%67.14%68.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.401.401.4875.19%71.34%71.43%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

Espanyol (客队)

预测 12.44%8.04公平赔率
EV +5.78%
优势 +0.680%
Kelly +0.771%
增长率 +0.045%

假设最高赔率为 8.50

博彩公司预测分布
11.37%12.50%12.58%14.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.407.627.838.5015.63%13.13%12.78%11.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.30%4.93公平赔率
EV -0.541%
优势 -0.110%
Kelly -0.139%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.90

博彩公司预测分布
19.32%20.34%20.28%22.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.584.604.9026.67%21.85%21.74%20.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Atlético Madrid (主队):67.26%;Espanyol (客队):12.44%;平局:20.30%。 对于“Espanyol (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.04。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为8.50,对应+5.78%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.76%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.48%EV +5.78%E +0.680%K +0.771%G +0.045%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.76%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-21 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.91%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV +5.78%E +0.680%K +0.771%G +0.045%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.66%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.91%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV +5.78%E +0.680%K +0.771%G +0.045%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.66%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.06%EV -4.49%E -3.17%K -10.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +5.78%E +0.680%K +0.771%G +0.045%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.47%EV -5.17%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.49%EV +4.54%E +0.540%K +0.613%G +0.028%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.03%EV -2.16%E -0.449%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.47%EV -5.17%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.49%EV +4.54%E +0.540%K +0.613%G +0.028%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.03%EV -2.16%E -0.449%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.68%EV -4.49%E -3.17%K -10.70%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.87%EV +0.804%E +0.099%K +0.113%G +0.001%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -2.48%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.17%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.71%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-21 19:40
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.95%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.05%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV -6.83%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 19:25
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.74%EV -5.17%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 19:55
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.60%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -2.57%E -0.536%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 19:55
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -3.59%E -0.755%K -0.956%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 19:50
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:55
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:55
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.64%EV -5.17%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.07%EV -1.69%E -0.213%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.29%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 19:55
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.64%EV -5.17%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.07%EV -1.69%E -0.213%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.29%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 19:55
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.33%EV -5.17%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.25%EV -3.55%E -0.458%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.42%EV -5.62%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 19:55
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.33%EV -4.49%E -3.17%K -10.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -6.66%E -0.888%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92%EV -2.57%E -0.536%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 19:55
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -6.66%E -0.888%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -6.66%E -0.888%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.59%E -0.755%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 19:45
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -6.66%E -0.888%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.59%E -0.755%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 19:55
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.66%E -0.888%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -6.66%E -0.888%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 19:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -9.88%E -7.37%K -29.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -6.66%E -0.888%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 19:50
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.73%EV -0.459%E -0.310%K -0.957%G +0.000%7.34I 13.62%NM 13.25%EV -8.65%E -1.18%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 21.01%EV -6.02%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-21 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.62%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.06%EV -9.77%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -0.541%E -0.110%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.48%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -9.77%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 19:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.49%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.66%EV -9.77%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 19:40
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.81%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.24%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.62%EV -9.77%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.57%EV -9.68%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 19:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.27%EV -10.40%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -2.57%E -0.536%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.77%EV -4.49%E -3.17%K -10.70%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.25%EV -12.26%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -9.68%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 19:55
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -4.49%E -3.17%K -10.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -3.59%E -0.755%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 19:55
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -5.17%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 19:50
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 19:55
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 19:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.11%E -2.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 64.74%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.30%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.96%EV -23.88%E -6.37%K -8.68%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-21 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.51%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -16.00%E -2.37%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -19.11%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 19:15
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -20.35%E -3.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -20.35%E -3.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 19:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.23%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.59%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%0.3%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.57%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.30%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.57%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.30%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.89%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-02-21 19:55
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.27%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.29%1.7%2026-02-21 19:55