Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Atlético Madrid v Espanyol

Начало: 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Atlético Madrid (Хозяева)

Прогноз 67.26%1.49справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.459%
Преимущество -0.310%
Kelly -0.957%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.48

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
64.74%67.16%67.14%68.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.331.401.401.4875.19%71.34%71.43%67.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Espanyol (Гости)

Прогноз 12.44%8.04справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.78%
Преимущество +0.680%
Kelly +0.771%
Рост +0.045%

при максимальном коэффициенте 8.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.37%12.50%12.58%14.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
6.407.627.838.5015.63%13.13%12.78%11.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 20.30%4.93справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.541%
Преимущество -0.110%
Kelly -0.139%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.32%20.34%20.28%22.96%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.584.604.9026.67%21.85%21.74%20.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Atlético Madrid (Хозяева): 67.26%; Espanyol (Гости): 12.44%; Ничья: 20.30%. Для исхода «Espanyol (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 8.04. 7 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 8.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.78%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.76%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.48%EV +5.78%E +0.680%K +0.771%G +0.045%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.76%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-21 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.91%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV +5.78%E +0.680%K +0.771%G +0.045%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.66%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.91%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV +5.78%E +0.680%K +0.771%G +0.045%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.66%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.06%EV -4.49%E -3.17%K -10.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +5.78%E +0.680%K +0.771%G +0.045%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.47%EV -5.17%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.49%EV +4.54%E +0.540%K +0.613%G +0.028%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.03%EV -2.16%E -0.449%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.47%EV -5.17%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.49%EV +4.54%E +0.540%K +0.613%G +0.028%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.03%EV -2.16%E -0.449%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.68%EV -4.49%E -3.17%K -10.70%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.87%EV +0.804%E +0.099%K +0.113%G +0.001%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -2.48%E -1.71%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.17%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.71%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-21 19:40
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.95%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.05%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV -6.83%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 19:25
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.74%EV -5.17%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 19:55
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.60%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -2.57%E -0.536%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 19:55
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -3.59%E -0.755%K -0.956%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 19:50
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:55
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -0.441%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:55
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.64%EV -5.17%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.07%EV -1.69%E -0.213%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.29%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 19:55
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.64%EV -5.17%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.07%EV -1.69%E -0.213%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.29%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 19:55
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.33%EV -5.17%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.25%EV -3.55%E -0.458%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.42%EV -5.62%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 19:55
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.33%EV -4.49%E -3.17%K -10.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -6.66%E -0.888%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92%EV -2.57%E -0.536%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 19:55
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -6.66%E -0.888%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -6.66%E -0.888%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.59%E -0.755%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 19:45
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -6.66%E -0.888%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.59%E -0.755%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 19:55
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.66%E -0.888%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -6.66%E -0.888%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 19:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -9.88%E -7.37%K -29.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -6.66%E -0.888%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 19:50
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.73%EV -0.459%E -0.310%K -0.957%G +0.000%7.34I 13.62%NM 13.25%EV -8.65%E -1.18%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 21.01%EV -6.02%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-21 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.62%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.06%EV -9.77%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -0.541%E -0.110%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.48%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -9.77%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 19:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.49%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.66%EV -9.77%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 19:40
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.81%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.24%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.62%EV -9.77%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.57%EV -9.68%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 19:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.27%EV -10.40%E -1.44%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -2.57%E -0.536%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.77%EV -4.49%E -3.17%K -10.70%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.25%EV -12.26%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -9.68%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 19:55
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -4.49%E -3.17%K -10.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -3.59%E -0.755%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 19:55
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -5.17%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 19:50
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.18%E -5.21%K -18.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -4.60%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 19:55
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 19:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.11%E -2.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 64.74%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.30%EV -12.89%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.96%EV -23.88%E -6.37%K -8.68%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-21 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.51%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -16.00%E -2.37%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -19.11%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 19:15
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -20.35%E -3.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -20.35%E -3.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 19:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.23%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.59%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%0.3%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.57%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.30%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.57%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.30%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.89%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-02-21 19:55
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.27%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.29%1.7%2026-02-21 19:55