L’École des cotes

Athletic Bilbao v Valencia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 14:15 UTC

Score final : Athletic Bilbao 0–1 Valencia

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Athletic Bilbao (Local)

Prévision 56.93%1.76cote équitable
EV -0.936%
Avantage -0.538%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.18%56.98%56.96%58.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.671.671.7462.11%60.06%59.88%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Valencia (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.81%5.61cote équitable
EV +2.42%
Avantage +0.421%
Kelly +0.509%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.38%17.73%17.77%18.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.295.305.7520.41%18.90%18.87%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.25%3.96cote équitable
EV -0.496%
Avantage -0.126%
Kelly -0.169%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.29%25.29%25.27%26.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.723.753.9428.17%26.92%26.67%25.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.50%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV +2.42%E +0.421%K +0.509%G +0.012%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 13:59
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.68%EV +1.53%E +0.268%K +0.325%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 13:59
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.34%EV -0.253%E -0.045%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 13:55
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.31%EV -2.08%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.67%EV -0.609%E -0.109%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 25.02%EV -0.496%E -0.126%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-10 13:55
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.65%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.45%EV -1.14%E -0.206%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.90%EV -1.76%E -0.452%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 13:59
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -0.936%E -0.538%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.77%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.06%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 13:54
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%EV -2.08%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 13:54
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%EV -2.08%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 13:54
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.38%EV -3.78%E -2.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.99%EV -2.01%E -0.518%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 13:54
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.08%EV -3.78%E -2.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 13:45
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.08%EV -3.78%E -2.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 13:45
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 13:59
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 13:59
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 14:00
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 13:59
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 13:59
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.57%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.43%EV -2.92%E -0.537%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 13:59
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69%EV -3.82%E -0.707%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 13:59
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.65%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -3.82%E -0.707%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 13:44
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.65%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -3.82%E -0.707%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 13:44
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -3.82%E -0.707%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 13:53
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.45%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.82%E -0.707%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 13:54
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.45%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.82%E -0.707%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 13:54
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.45%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.82%E -0.707%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 13:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.45%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.82%E -0.707%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 13:55
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 18.01%EV -3.99%E -0.741%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -2.77%E -0.719%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 14:00
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -5.60%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:54
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -5.60%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -5.60%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:54
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -5.60%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:54
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.49%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 13:44
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.49%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 13:45
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.49%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 09:24
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -6.49%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 13:45
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -6.49%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 13:59
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.82%EV -3.78%E -2.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.49%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 13:44
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.49%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 13:54
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -7.38%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 13:59
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -7.38%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 13:59
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.41%EV -7.20%E -4.42%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -7.38%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:54
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 56.82%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.76%EV -8.27%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 13:59
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.99%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -9.16%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.56%EV -7.06%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:46
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:45
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:45
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 13:44
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 13:45
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -6.63%E -4.04%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -2.77%E -0.719%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 13:45
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.97%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 13:59
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 13:59
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 13:54
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 13:55
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 13:54
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 13:55
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -12.72%E -2.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 13:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-10 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-10 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-10 13:59
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-10 13:59
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 58.17%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-05-10 14:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-05-10 13:55