مدرسة الاحتمالات

Athletic Bilbao v Valencia

البداية: 2026-05-10 14:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Athletic Bilbao 0–1 Valencia

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Athletic Bilbao (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.93%1.76السعر العادل
EV -0.936%
الأفضلية -0.538%
Kelly -1.27%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.18%56.98%56.96%58.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.611.671.671.7462.11%60.06%59.88%57.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Valencia (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.81%5.61السعر العادل
EV +2.42%
الأفضلية +0.421%
Kelly +0.509%
النمو +0.012%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.38%17.73%17.77%18.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.905.295.305.7520.41%18.90%18.87%17.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.25%3.96السعر العادل
EV -0.496%
الأفضلية -0.126%
Kelly -0.169%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.94

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.29%25.29%25.27%26.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.553.723.753.9428.17%26.92%26.67%25.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.50%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV +2.42%E +0.421%K +0.509%G +0.012%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 13:59
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.68%EV +1.53%E +0.268%K +0.325%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 13:59
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.34%EV -0.253%E -0.045%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 13:55
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.31%EV -2.08%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.67%EV -0.609%E -0.109%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 25.02%EV -0.496%E -0.126%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-10 13:55
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.65%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.45%EV -1.14%E -0.206%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.90%EV -1.76%E -0.452%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 13:59
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -0.936%E -0.538%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.77%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.06%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 13:54
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%EV -2.08%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 13:54
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%EV -2.08%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 13:54
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.38%EV -3.78%E -2.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.99%EV -2.01%E -0.518%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 13:54
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.08%EV -3.78%E -2.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 13:45
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.08%EV -3.78%E -2.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 13:45
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 13:59
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 13:59
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 14:00
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 13:59
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -2.03%E -0.370%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 13:59
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.57%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.43%EV -2.92%E -0.537%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 13:59
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69%EV -3.82%E -0.707%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 13:59
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.65%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -3.82%E -0.707%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 13:44
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.65%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -3.82%E -0.707%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 13:44
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -3.82%E -0.707%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 13:53
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.45%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.82%E -0.707%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 13:54
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.45%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.82%E -0.707%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 13:54
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.45%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.82%E -0.707%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 13:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.45%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.82%E -0.707%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 13:55
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 18.01%EV -3.99%E -0.741%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -2.77%E -0.719%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 14:00
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -5.60%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:54
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -5.60%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -5.60%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:54
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -5.60%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:54
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.49%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 13:44
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.49%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 13:45
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.49%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 09:24
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -6.49%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 13:45
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -6.49%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 13:59
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.82%EV -3.78%E -2.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.49%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 13:44
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.49%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 13:54
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -7.38%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 13:59
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -7.38%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 13:59
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.41%EV -7.20%E -4.42%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -7.38%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:54
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 56.82%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.76%EV -8.27%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 13:59
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.99%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -9.16%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.56%EV -7.06%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:46
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:45
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:45
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 13:44
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 13:45
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -6.63%E -4.04%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -2.77%E -0.719%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 13:45
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.97%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 13:59
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 13:59
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 13:54
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 13:55
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 13:54
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.94%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -10.35%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 13:55
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -12.72%E -2.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 13:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-10 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-10 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-10 13:59
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-10 13:59
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 58.17%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-05-10 14:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-05-10 13:55