預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Athletic Bilbao v Elche CF

開賽時間: 2026-09-13 19:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

22 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Athletic Bilbao (主隊)

預測 58.97%1.70公平賠率
EV -1.52%
優勢 -0.912%
Kelly -2.27%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.67

博彩公司預測分布
57.33%58.96%59.16%60.92%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.491.571.571.6767.11%63.51%63.69%59.88%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Elche CF (客隊)

預測 17.21%5.81公平賠率
EV +2.24%
優勢 +0.377%
Kelly +0.453%
成長率 +0.010%

假設最高賠率為 5.94

博彩公司預測分布
16.31%17.35%17.02%19.31%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.705.355.455.9421.28%18.69%18.35%16.84%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 23.82%4.20公平賠率
EV +0.280%
優勢 +0.067%
Kelly +0.087%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.21

博彩公司預測分布
22.53%23.69%23.82%24.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.603.963.994.2127.78%25.28%25.06%23.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Athletic Bilbao (主隊):58.97%;Elche CF (客隊):17.21%;和局:23.82%。 對於「Elche CF (客隊)」,該估計相當於5.81的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為5.94,對應+2.24%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (22 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 60.04%EV -3.29%E -2.01%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.58%EV +2.24%E +0.377%K +0.453%G +0.010%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.39%EV +0.280%E +0.067%K +0.087%G +0.000%1.6%2026-09-04 13:40
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -0.171%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -2.34%E -0.571%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -1.89%E -0.332%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -1.89%E -0.332%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.34%E -0.571%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 20:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -3.61%E -0.645%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -5.91%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:17
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.12%EV -1.52%E -0.912%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.49%EV -4.47%E -0.806%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.39%EV -5.20%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 13:59
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.33%E -0.970%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV +0.042%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -6.83%E -4.32%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.33%E -0.970%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -2.34%E -0.571%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 08:35
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -8.60%E -5.55%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -5.33%E -0.970%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 20:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -6.83%E -4.32%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -5.33%E -0.970%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.49%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 17:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.55%E -7.70%K -23.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.33%E -0.970%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 20:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.97%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.82%EV -7.06%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.68%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -12.14%E -8.15%K -24.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -8.78%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -11.87%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -9.64%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -2.34%E -0.571%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 09:19
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -9.64%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -9.49%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -10.50%E -2.02%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.91%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 09:25
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 09:25
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -8.60%E -5.55%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.49%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 07:30
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.33%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -15.66%E -3.20%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -3.53%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 18:15
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.33%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -15.66%E -3.20%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -3.53%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.61%EV -11.55%E -7.70%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.39%EV -19.10%E -4.06%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-30 18:15
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 55.30%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21%16.7%2026-09-01 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 53.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 23.53%2.56I 39.06%NM 22.98%70.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 53.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 23.53%2.56I 39.06%NM 22.98%70.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 53.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 23.53%2.56I 39.06%NM 22.98%70.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 35.73%1.59I 62.89%NM 28.54%1.27I 78.74%NM 35.73%120.4%2026-08-30 18:39