Lingua:Italiano
Athletic Bilbao v Elche CF
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Athletic Bilbao (Casa)
Previsione 58.97%1.70quota equa
EV -1.52%
Vantaggio -0.912%
Kelly -2.27%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.33%58.96%59.16%60.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.491.571.571.6767.11%63.51%63.69%59.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Elche CF (Trasferta)
Previsione 17.21%5.81quota equa
EV +2.24%
Vantaggio +0.377%
Kelly +0.453%
Crescita +0.010%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.94
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.31%17.35%17.02%19.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.705.355.455.9421.28%18.69%18.35%16.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 23.82%4.20quota equa
EV +0.280%
Vantaggio +0.067%
Kelly +0.087%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.21
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.53%23.69%23.82%24.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.963.994.2127.78%25.28%25.06%23.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Athletic Bilbao (Casa): 58.97%; Elche CF (Trasferta): 17.21%; Pareggio: 23.82%. Per Elche CF (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.81. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 5.94, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.24%.
Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.04%EV -3.29%E -2.01%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.58%EV +2.24%E +0.377%K +0.453%G +0.010% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.39%EV +0.280%E +0.067%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -0.171%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -2.34%E -0.571%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -1.89%E -0.332%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -1.89%E -0.332%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.34%E -0.571%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -3.61%E -0.645%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -5.91%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 18:17 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.12%EV -1.52%E -0.912%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.49%EV -4.47%E -0.806%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.39%EV -5.20%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.33%E -0.970%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV +0.042%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -6.83%E -4.32%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.33%E -0.970%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -2.34%E -0.571%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -8.60%E -5.55%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -5.33%E -0.970%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -6.83%E -4.32%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -5.33%E -0.970%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.49%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.55%E -7.70%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.33%E -0.970%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.97%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.82%EV -7.06%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.68%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.39%EV -12.14%E -8.15%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -8.78%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -11.87%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -9.64%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -2.34%E -0.571%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -9.64%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -9.49%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -10.50%E -2.02%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.91%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -8.60%E -5.55%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -13.94%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.49%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-31 07:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.33%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -15.66%E -3.20%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -3.53%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.33%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -15.66%E -3.20%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -3.53%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.61%EV -11.55%E -7.70%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.39%EV -19.10%E -4.06%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.30% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21% | 16.7% | 2026-09-01 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 53.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 23.53% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 22.98% | 70.0% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 53.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 23.53% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 22.98% | 70.0% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 53.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 23.53% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 22.98% | 70.0% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 35.73% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 28.54% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 35.73% | 120.4% | 2026-08-30 18:39 |