預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Alavés v Villarreal

2026-08-28 19:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

獨贏

27 家博彩公司 (11 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Alavés (主隊)

預測 33.58%2.98公平賠率
EV -1.93%
優勢 -0.662%
Kelly -1.01%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.92

博彩公司預測分布
32.61%33.52%33.68%34.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.552.792.802.9239.22%35.89%35.71%34.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Villarreal (客隊)

預測 39.84%2.51公平賠率
EV +0.407%
優勢 +0.161%
Kelly +0.268%
成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 2.52

博彩公司預測分布
38.05%39.96%39.94%41.46%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.202.342.332.5245.45%42.66%42.92%39.68%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 26.57%3.76公平賠率
EV -0.358%
優勢 -0.096%
Kelly -0.130%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.75

博彩公司預測分布
25.43%26.52%26.38%27.42%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.303.523.503.7530.30%28.40%28.57%26.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為:Alavés (主隊):33.58%;Villarreal (客隊):39.84%;和局:26.57%。 對於「Villarreal (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.51的公平十進位賠率。 有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率;目前最佳賠率為2.52,因此產生+0.407%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (27 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.72%EV -1.93%E -0.662%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.08%EV +0.407%E +0.161%K +0.268%G +0.001%3.62I 27.62%NM 27.20%EV -3.81%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-23 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.67%EV -3.28%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.10%EV -1.19%E -0.479%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.24%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -2.38%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 16:59
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -2.38%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 16:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.26%EV -3.18%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 18:24
Pinnacle🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.66%EV -3.95%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.23%EV -2.48%E -0.677%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 19:35
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 17:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 17:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 19:34
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 18:24
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 16:54
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 16:54
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 17:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.37%EV -6.97%E -2.52%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.68%EV -7.16%E -3.07%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.95%EV -8.86%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 19:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.11%EV -3.28%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.46%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -0.358%E -0.096%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 19:45
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -1.69%E -0.456%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 19:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -2.60%E -0.898%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 19:24
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 16:49
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 18:24
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 16:59
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -10.35%E -4.60%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 19:30
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -10.35%E -4.60%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 19:34
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -10.35%E -4.60%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 19:28
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -12.01%E -4.58%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -10.35%E -4.60%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 17:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -14.36%E -5.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -12.34%E -5.61%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-23 18:24
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-08-23 17:30
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-08-23 19:45
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.50%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08%2.2%2026-08-23 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-08-23 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-08-23 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-08-23 19:45