Langue:Français
Alavés v Villarreal
Résultat du match
Alavés (Local)
Prévision 33.58%2.98cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -0.662%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.92
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.61%33.52%33.68%34.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.792.802.9239.22%35.89%35.71%34.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Villarreal (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.84%2.51cote équitable
EV +0.407%
Avantage +0.161%
Kelly +0.268%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 2.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.05%39.96%39.94%41.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.342.332.5245.45%42.66%42.92%39.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.57%3.76cote équitable
EV -0.358%
Avantage -0.096%
Kelly -0.130%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.43%26.52%26.38%27.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.523.503.7530.30%28.40%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Alavés (Local) : 33.58% ; Villarreal (Visiteur) : 39.84% ; Match nul : 26.57%. Pour Villarreal (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.51. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.52, pour une espérance positive de +0.407%.
Cotes des opérateurs (27 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.72%EV -1.93%E -0.662%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.08%EV +0.407%E +0.161%K +0.268%G +0.001% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.20%EV -3.81%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.67%EV -3.28%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.10%EV -1.19%E -0.479%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.24%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-23 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -2.38%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 16:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -2.38%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 16:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.26%EV -3.18%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.66%EV -3.95%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.23%EV -2.48%E -0.677%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 19:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 17:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 17:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 17:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.37%EV -6.97%E -2.52%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.68%EV -7.16%E -3.07%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.95%EV -8.86%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.11%EV -3.28%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.46%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -0.358%E -0.096%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -1.69%E -0.456%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 19:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -2.60%E -0.898%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 19:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-23 16:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -10.35%E -4.60%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -10.35%E -4.60%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -10.35%E -4.60%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 19:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -12.01%E -4.58%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -10.35%E -4.60%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -14.36%E -5.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -12.34%E -5.61%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.51% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.50% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08% | 2.2% | 2026-08-23 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 19:45 |