La escuela de los momios

Alavés v CA Osasuna

Inicio: 2026-04-05 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alavés (Local)

Predicción 34.82%2.87momio equitativo
EV +0.282%
Ventaja +0.098%
Kelly +0.150%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.22%34.84%34.92%37.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.482.662.652.8840.32%37.53%37.74%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

CA Osasuna (Visitante)

Predicción 34.52%2.90momio equitativo
EV +0.103%
Ventaja +0.036%
Kelly +0.054%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.08%34.51%34.42%35.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.752.9040.00%36.31%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.66%3.26momio equitativo
EV +0.264%
Ventaja +0.081%
Kelly +0.116%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.61%30.66%30.66%31.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.103.103.2736.36%32.23%32.26%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 33.56%EV +0.282%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.28%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 33.56%EV +0.282%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.28%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 18:54
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.01%EV -0.763%E -0.268%K -0.412%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.12%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.87%EV -3.72%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 18:54
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 34.41%EV -1.46%E -0.516%K -0.797%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.81%EV -3.11%E -0.984%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 18:55
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -1.81%E -0.641%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -6.11%E -2.25%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.48%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 18:49
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -1.81%E -0.641%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -6.11%E -2.25%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.48%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 18:50
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -2.50%E -0.894%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 18:53
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -2.50%E -0.894%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.15%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 18:54
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -2.50%E -0.894%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 18:55
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -2.50%E -0.894%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 18:54
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -2.50%E -0.894%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 18:54
Coolbet2.77I 36.10%NM 35.03%EV -3.55%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.17%EV -1.97%E -0.693%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%EV -3.42%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 18:55
1xBet2.76I 36.23%NM 35.16%EV -3.90%E -1.41%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.16%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV +0.264%E +0.081%K +0.116%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 18:55
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -4.24%E -1.54%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 18:45
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -4.24%E -1.54%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 18:54
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.88%E -0.588%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 18:54
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 18:54
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 18:55
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 18:45
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:40
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:44
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 18:54
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 18:53
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 18:54
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 18:44
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 18:55
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 35.53%EV -7.03%E -2.63%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 18:05
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.64%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV +0.103%E +0.036%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -0.350%E -0.108%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 18:05
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.64%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.09%EV -4.38%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.27%EV -4.34%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 18:53
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 14:05
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -3.42%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:55
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -3.42%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.82%EV -8.42%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.39%EV +0.103%E +0.036%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -0.350%E -0.108%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 18:05
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.82%EV -8.42%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.39%EV +0.103%E +0.036%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -0.350%E -0.108%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 18:04
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.82%EV -8.42%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.39%EV +0.103%E +0.036%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -0.350%E -0.108%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 18:05
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 18:35
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 18:54
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 18:54
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -1.88%E -0.588%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 18:04
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -1.88%E -0.588%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 18:05
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -1.88%E -0.588%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 18:05
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -1.88%E -0.588%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 18:05
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -3.42%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -3.42%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:05
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -3.42%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 17:34
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -3.42%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:05
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.48%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 18:55
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.87%EV -7.84%E -2.93%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 18:50
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 18:04
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-05 18:35
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -13.65%E -5.50%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 18:04
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -13.65%E -5.50%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 18:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-04-05 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-04-05 18:55
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-04-05 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.21%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%0.7%2026-04-05 18:55
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.4%2026-04-05 18:55
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07%3.0%2026-04-05 18:55