مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alavés v CA Osasuna

البداية: 2026-04-05 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alavés (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.82%2.87السعر العادل
EV +0.282%
الأفضلية +0.098%
Kelly +0.150%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.22%34.84%34.92%37.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.482.662.652.8840.32%37.53%37.74%34.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

CA Osasuna (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.52%2.90السعر العادل
EV +0.103%
الأفضلية +0.036%
Kelly +0.054%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.08%34.51%34.42%35.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.752.752.9040.00%36.31%36.36%34.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.66%3.26السعر العادل
EV +0.264%
الأفضلية +0.081%
Kelly +0.116%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.61%30.66%30.66%31.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.103.103.2736.36%32.23%32.26%30.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 33.56%EV +0.282%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.28%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 33.56%EV +0.282%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.28%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 18:54
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.01%EV -0.763%E -0.268%K -0.412%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.12%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.87%EV -3.72%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 18:54
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 34.41%EV -1.46%E -0.516%K -0.797%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.81%EV -3.11%E -0.984%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 18:55
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -1.81%E -0.641%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -6.11%E -2.25%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.48%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 18:49
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -1.81%E -0.641%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -6.11%E -2.25%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.48%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 18:50
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -2.50%E -0.894%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 18:53
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -2.50%E -0.894%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.15%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 18:54
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -2.50%E -0.894%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 18:55
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -2.50%E -0.894%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 18:54
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -2.50%E -0.894%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 18:54
Coolbet2.77I 36.10%NM 35.03%EV -3.55%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.17%EV -1.97%E -0.693%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%EV -3.42%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 18:55
1xBet2.76I 36.23%NM 35.16%EV -3.90%E -1.41%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.16%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV +0.264%E +0.081%K +0.116%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 18:55
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -4.24%E -1.54%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 18:45
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -4.24%E -1.54%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 18:54
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.88%E -0.588%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 18:54
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 18:54
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 18:55
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 18:45
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:40
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:44
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 18:54
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 18:53
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 18:54
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 18:44
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.99%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 18:55
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 35.53%EV -7.03%E -2.63%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 18:05
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.64%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV +0.103%E +0.036%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -0.350%E -0.108%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 18:05
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.64%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.09%EV -4.38%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.27%EV -4.34%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 18:53
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 14:05
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -3.42%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:55
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -7.73%E -2.92%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -3.42%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.82%EV -8.42%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.39%EV +0.103%E +0.036%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -0.350%E -0.108%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 18:05
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.82%EV -8.42%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.39%EV +0.103%E +0.036%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -0.350%E -0.108%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 18:04
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.82%EV -8.42%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.39%EV +0.103%E +0.036%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -0.350%E -0.108%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 18:05
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 18:35
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 18:54
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.47%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 18:54
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -1.88%E -0.588%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 18:04
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -1.88%E -0.588%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 18:05
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -1.88%E -0.588%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 18:05
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -1.88%E -0.588%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 18:05
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -3.42%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -3.42%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:05
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -3.42%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 17:34
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -3.42%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:05
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.48%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 18:55
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -11.21%E -4.40%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.87%EV -7.84%E -2.93%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 18:50
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 18:04
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-05 18:35
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -13.65%E -5.50%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 18:04
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -13.65%E -5.50%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.07%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 18:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-04-05 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-04-05 18:55
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-04-05 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.21%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%0.7%2026-04-05 18:55
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.4%2026-04-05 18:55
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07%3.0%2026-04-05 18:55