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Real Sociedad v Athletic Bilbao
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Real Sociedad (Casa)
Previsione 39.68%2.52quota equa
EV -2.79%
Vantaggio -1.14%
Kelly -1.92%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.25%39.73%39.67%41.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.232.332.322.4544.84%42.94%43.10%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Athletic Bilbao (Trasferta)
Previsione 31.59%3.17quota equa
EV +2.34%
Vantaggio +0.723%
Kelly +1.05%
Crescita +0.025%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.24
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.97%31.43%31.58%32.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.983.003.2437.04%33.56%33.33%30.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.73%3.48quota equa
EV +0.569%
Vantaggio +0.163%
Kelly +0.228%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.76%28.84%28.75%30.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.253.303.5034.72%30.79%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.97%EV +2.34%E +0.723%K +1.05%G +0.025% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.07%EV -4.03%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.52%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.08%E -0.670%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.37%EV -2.30%E -0.678%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.52%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.08%E -0.670%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.37%EV -2.30%E -0.678%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -2.08%E -0.670%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.75%EV -3.98%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -3.66%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.71%EV -3.74%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 19:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV -3.66%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.74%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV -3.66%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.74%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV -3.66%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.74%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.49%EV -7.55%E -3.24%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -3.66%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.49%EV -7.55%E -3.24%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -3.66%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.82%EV -3.97%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.70%EV -3.17%E -0.939%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.43%EV -7.55%E -3.24%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.19%EV -4.61%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.37%EV -4.60%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.61%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 09:59 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 10:00 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.61%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.48%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -6.82%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.61%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -7.95%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -7.76%E -2.66%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.05%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -3.74%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.05%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.05%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 19:53 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -11.52%E -5.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.49%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -11.52%E -5.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.49%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 13:39 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -9.03%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV +0.569%E +0.163%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -9.03%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.08%EV -9.34%E -3.26%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.55%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.61%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -10.72%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -14.71%E -5.45%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -17.25%E -5.99%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-04 18:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |