L’École des cotesFrançais
Real Sociedad v Athletic Bilbao
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Real Sociedad (Local)
Prévision 39.68%2.52cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.25%39.73%39.67%41.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.232.332.322.4544.84%42.94%43.10%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Athletic Bilbao (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.59%3.17cote équitable
EV +2.34%
Avantage +0.723%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.025%
avec la cote maximale 3.24
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.97%31.43%31.58%32.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.983.003.2437.04%33.56%33.33%30.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.73%3.48cote équitable
EV +0.569%
Avantage +0.163%
Kelly +0.228%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.76%28.84%28.75%30.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.253.303.5034.72%30.79%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.97%EV +2.34%E +0.723%K +1.05%G +0.025% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.07%EV -4.03%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.52%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.08%E -0.670%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.37%EV -2.30%E -0.678%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.52%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.08%E -0.670%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.37%EV -2.30%E -0.678%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -2.08%E -0.670%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.75%EV -3.98%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -3.66%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.71%EV -3.74%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 19:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV -3.66%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.74%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV -3.66%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.74%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV -3.66%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.74%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.49%EV -7.55%E -3.24%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -3.66%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.49%EV -7.55%E -3.24%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -3.66%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.82%EV -3.97%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.70%EV -3.17%E -0.939%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.43%EV -7.55%E -3.24%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.19%EV -4.61%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.37%EV -4.60%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.61%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 09:59 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 10:00 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.61%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.24%E -1.75%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.80%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.48%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -6.82%E -2.31%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.61%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -7.95%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -7.76%E -2.66%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.05%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -3.74%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.05%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.05%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 19:53 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -11.52%E -5.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.49%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -11.52%E -5.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -8.40%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.49%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 13:39 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -9.03%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV +0.569%E +0.163%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -9.03%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.08%EV -9.34%E -3.26%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.55%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.61%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -10.72%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -14.71%E -5.45%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -17.25%E -5.99%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-04 18:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |