Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

CF Trival Valderas v Leganés

2026-10-28 19:00 UTC — Copa del Rey

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CF Trival Valderas (Local)

Prediction 8.58%11.66fair odd
EV +15.82%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.200%

assuming max odds 13.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.04%8.60%8.92%10.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.6610.9611.0013.5011.55%9.12%9.09%7.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leganés (Visit)

Prediction 74.99%1.33fair odd
EV -6.26%
Edge -5.01%
Kelly -25.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.34%75.03%74.91%78.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.211.201.2586.96%82.78%83.33%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.43%6.09fair odd
EV +10.91%
Edge +1.62%
Kelly +1.90%
Growth +0.207%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.46%16.38%16.17%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.855.806.7520.00%17.10%17.24%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: CF Trival Valderas (Local): 8.58%; Leganés (Visit): 74.99%; Draw: 16.43%. For CF Trival Valderas (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.66. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 13.50, producing a positive expected value of +15.82%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV +2.95%E +0.246%K +0.268%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.98%EV -13.76%E -11.97%K -91.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV +10.91%E +1.62%K +1.90%G +0.207%10.1%2026-10-28 04:05
BetMGM🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 7.07%EV +15.82%E +1.17%K +1.27%G +0.200%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.24%EV -8.51%E -6.98%K -38.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV +6.80%E +1.05%K +1.24%G +0.084%4.8%2026-10-28 04:55
Coral🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +11.53%E +0.887%K +0.961%G +0.111%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.03%EV -8.51%E -6.98%K -38.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +6.80%E +1.05%K +1.24%G +0.084%5.0%2026-10-28 04:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +11.53%E +0.887%K +0.961%G +0.111%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.03%EV -8.51%E -6.98%K -38.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +6.80%E +1.05%K +1.24%G +0.084%5.0%2026-10-28 04:54
Sky Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +2.95%E +0.246%K +0.268%G +0.008%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -10.01%E -8.34%K -50.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +6.80%E +1.05%K +1.24%G +0.084%7.1%2026-10-28 04:04
SportsBet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +11.53%E +0.887%K +0.961%G +0.111%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.24%EV -9.26%E -7.65%K -44.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.41%E -0.235%K -0.283%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 04:43
Paddy Power🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +11.53%E +0.887%K +0.961%G +0.111%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -10.01%E -8.34%K -50.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -1.41%E -0.235%K -0.283%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-28 04:43
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -5.63%E -0.512%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -8.51%E -6.98%K -38.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -4.70%E -0.810%K -0.979%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-28 04:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.50%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -10.01%E -8.34%K -50.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -4.70%E -0.810%K -0.979%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-28 04:05
LiveScore Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.50%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -10.01%E -8.34%K -50.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -4.70%E -0.810%K -0.979%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-28 04:05
Unibet (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.50%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -10.01%E -8.34%K -50.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -4.70%E -0.810%K -0.979%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-28 04:05
Virgin Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.50%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -10.01%E -8.34%K -50.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -4.70%E -0.810%K -0.979%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-28 04:04
Grosvenor🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.50%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -10.01%E -8.34%K -50.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -4.70%E -0.810%K -0.979%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-28 04:04
Unibet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.50%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -10.01%E -8.34%K -50.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -4.70%E -0.810%K -0.979%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-28 04:04
ATG (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.50%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -10.01%E -8.34%K -50.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -4.70%E -0.810%K -0.979%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-28 04:05
Svenska Spel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.50%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -10.01%E -8.34%K -50.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -4.70%E -0.810%K -0.979%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-28 04:04
Betway🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -14.21%E -1.42%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.26%E -5.01%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.52%E -0.960%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-28 04:05
888sport🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -5.63%E -0.512%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -8.51%E -6.98%K -38.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.52%E -0.960%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-28 04:55
888sport (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -5.63%E -0.512%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -8.51%E -6.98%K -38.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.52%E -0.960%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-28 04:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -5.63%E -0.512%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -8.51%E -6.98%K -38.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.52%E -0.960%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-28 04:55
1xBet🎯11.30I 8.85%NM 8.27%EV -3.06%E -0.270%K -0.297%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.74%EV -6.26%E -5.01%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -9.63%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 04:05
Bet Victor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV +11.53%E +0.887%K +0.961%G +0.111%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -10.01%E -8.34%K -50.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -9.63%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-28 04:05
betano_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV +11.53%E +0.887%K +0.961%G +0.111%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -10.01%E -8.34%K -50.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -9.63%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-28 04:04
Tipico (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.16%EV -18.50%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 75.02%EV -13.01%E -11.22%K -81.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.82%EV -9.63%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-28 04:05
Pinnacle🎯8.66I 11.55%NM 10.28%EV -25.70%E -2.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.34%EV -7.76%E -6.31%K -33.75%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 17.38%EV -15.87%E -3.10%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-28 04:05
BoyleSports🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -14.21%E -1.42%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -8.51%E -6.98%K -38.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -17.84%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-28 04:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.