Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

CF Trival Valderas v Leganés

2026-10-28 19:00 UTC — Copa del Rey

Frente a frente

28 casas de apostas (8 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

CF Trival Valderas (Local)

Previsão 8.58%11.66odd justa
EV +20.12%
Vantagem +1.44%
Kelly +1.55%
Crescimento +0.311%

pressupondo odds máximas de 14.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.75%8.60%8.65%10.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
8.6610.8711.0014.0011.55%9.20%9.09%7.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Leganés (Visitante)

Previsão 75.26%1.33odd justa
EV -5.92%
Vantagem -4.74%
Kelly -23.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.34%75.21%75.25%77.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.161.211.211.2586.21%82.64%82.99%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 16.16%6.19odd justa
EV +5.02%
Vantagem +0.772%
Kelly +0.913%
Crescimento +0.046%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.37%16.19%16.10%17.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.855.806.5020.00%17.10%17.24%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: CF Trival Valderas (Local): 8.58%; Leganés (Visitante): 75.26%; Empate: 16.16%. Para CF Trival Valderas (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 11.66. 9 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 14.00, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +20.12%.

Odds das casas de apostas (28 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +20.12%E +1.44%K +1.55%G +0.311%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.18%E -6.70%K -37.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.06%E -0.510%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 05:35
SportsBet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +11.54%E +0.888%K +0.962%G +0.111%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.24%EV -8.93%E -7.38%K -42.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.06%E -0.510%K -0.612%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 04:43
Paddy Power🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +11.54%E +0.888%K +0.962%G +0.111%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -9.68%E -8.07%K -48.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -3.06%E -0.510%K -0.612%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-28 04:43
Bet Victor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV +11.54%E +0.888%K +0.962%G +0.111%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -9.68%E -8.07%K -48.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -11.14%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-28 04:05
betano_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV +11.54%E +0.888%K +0.962%G +0.111%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -9.68%E -8.07%K -48.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -11.14%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-28 04:04
Coral🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +2.96%E +0.247%K +0.269%G +0.008%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -8.18%E -6.70%K -37.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +5.02%E +0.772%K +0.913%G +0.046%5.7%2026-10-28 05:24
BetMGM🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +2.96%E +0.247%K +0.269%G +0.008%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -8.18%E -6.70%K -37.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +5.02%E +0.772%K +0.913%G +0.046%5.7%2026-10-28 05:24
Sky Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +2.96%E +0.247%K +0.269%G +0.008%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -9.68%E -8.07%K -48.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +5.02%E +0.772%K +0.913%G +0.046%7.1%2026-10-28 04:04
Codere (IT)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +2.96%E +0.247%K +0.269%G +0.008%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.16%EV -8.93%E -7.38%K -42.53%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.06%EV +0.172%E +0.028%K +0.033%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 05:35
1xBet🎯11.30I 8.85%NM 8.27%EV -3.05%E -0.270%K -0.296%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.74%EV -5.92%E -4.74%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -11.14%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 04:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -5.62%E -0.511%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -8.18%E -6.70%K -37.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +5.02%E +0.772%K +0.913%G +0.046%6.4%2026-10-28 05:25
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -5.62%E -0.511%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -8.18%E -6.70%K -37.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -6.29%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-28 04:55
888sport🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -5.62%E -0.511%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -8.18%E -6.70%K -37.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.10%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-28 04:55
888sport (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -5.62%E -0.511%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -8.18%E -6.70%K -37.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.10%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-28 04:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -5.62%E -0.511%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -8.18%E -6.70%K -37.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.10%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-28 04:55
Betway🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -14.20%E -1.42%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.92%E -4.74%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.10%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-28 04:05
Winamax (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -14.20%E -1.42%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -10.44%E -8.77%K -54.93%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV +0.980%E +0.157%K +0.187%G +0.002%10.0%2026-10-28 05:20
BoyleSports🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -14.20%E -1.42%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -8.18%E -6.70%K -37.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -19.22%E -3.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-28 04:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.49%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -9.68%E -8.07%K -48.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -6.29%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-28 04:05
LiveScore Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.49%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -9.68%E -8.07%K -48.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -6.29%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-28 04:05
Unibet (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.49%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -9.68%E -8.07%K -48.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -6.29%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-28 04:05
Virgin Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.49%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -9.68%E -8.07%K -48.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -6.29%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-28 04:04
Grosvenor🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.49%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -9.68%E -8.07%K -48.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -6.29%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-28 04:04
Unibet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.49%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -9.68%E -8.07%K -48.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -6.29%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-28 04:04
ATG (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.49%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -9.68%E -8.07%K -48.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -6.29%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-28 04:05
Svenska Spel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -18.49%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -9.68%E -8.07%K -48.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -6.29%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-28 04:04
Tipico (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.16%EV -18.49%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 75.02%EV -12.69%E -10.94%K -79.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.82%EV -11.14%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-28 04:05
Pinnacle🎯8.66I 11.55%NM 10.28%EV -25.70%E -2.97%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.34%EV -7.43%E -6.04%K -32.29%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 17.38%EV -17.28%E -3.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-28 04:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.40I 13.51%NM 11.86%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%13.9%2026-10-28 05:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.40I 13.51%NM 11.86%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%13.9%2026-10-28 05:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.40I 13.51%NM 11.86%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%13.9%2026-10-28 05:35