Language:English
Arosa v Pontevedra CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arosa (Local)
Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -0.826%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.61%25.54%25.38%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.603.653.8031.25%27.78%27.40%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pontevedra CF (Visit)
Prediction 47.81%2.09fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.968%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%47.65%47.83%50.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.911.912.0557.14%52.28%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.70%3.75fair odd
EV +1.45%
Edge +0.382%
Kelly +0.519%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%26.81%26.80%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.473.453.8030.30%28.84%28.99%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arosa (Local): 25.49%; Pontevedra CF (Visit): 47.81%; Draw: 26.70%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -12.50%E -6.83%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +1.45%E +0.382%K +0.519%G +0.008% | 7.3% | 2026-10-27 19:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -7.24%E -3.73%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-27 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-27 19:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-27 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-27 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-27 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-27 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-27 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -7.24%E -3.73%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -9.26%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-27 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -11.30%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -3.42%E -1.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -7.09%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -10.11%E -5.38%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -7.89%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-27 19:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -10.59%E -5.66%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -7.89%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-27 19:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-27 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-27 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-27 19:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-27 19:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-27 19:48 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -17.16%E -5.28%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-27 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -12.06%E -3.50%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.93%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-27 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -12.06%E -3.50%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.93%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-27 19:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -15.88%E -4.81%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -1.98%E -0.968%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.90%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-27 19:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -18.43%E -5.76%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.90%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.61%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.92%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.47%EV -11.90%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.36% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |